Result
3:4
13/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (204/326) | 62% (145/235) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (204/326) | 62% (145/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (27/87) | 35% (22/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (61/130) | 50% (50/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 25% (1/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 56 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.75 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Watts C. ⚽, Amaechi X. (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Forde S. ⚽, Cavegn F. (A),
- 39', 2 - 1, Cavegn F. ⚽, Conteh K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Sorinola M. ↓, Galloway B. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 2, Galloway B. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
- 50', 2 - 3, Tolaj L. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
- 59', Watts C. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 3, Thomas L. ⚽,
- 62', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
- 66', Boateng M. 🟨,
- 72', Wiredu B. ↓, Ralls J. ↑,
- 75', Hutchinson I. ↓, De Havilland R. ↑,
- 82', Amaechi X. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
- 82', Thomas L. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
- 83', Senior J. ↓, Balmer K. ↑,
- 89', Balmer K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Galloway B. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 4, Pepple A. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
- 90+6', Lockyer T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
31.5% | Draw
26.6% | Plymouth Argyle
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↓
(3.19) |
3.42 ↓
(3.47) |
2.19 ↑
(2.01) |
8.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2.
- Recent form of Bristol Rovers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Plymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Plymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Plymouth will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Plymouth Argyle?
Bristol Rovers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Bristol Rovers?
Plymouth Argyle has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
11.11.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Plymouth Argyle
1:0
30.07.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:1
10.01.2023
Bristol Rovers
-
Plymouth Argyle
0:2
22.10.2022
Bristol Rovers
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:2
30.08.2022
Plymouth Argyle
-
Bristol Rovers
2:1
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | 2 : 1 |
Final
