Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 28
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 56% (123/220) | 77% (370/479) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 56% (123/220) | 77% (370/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/57) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (44/86) | 55% (78/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Ralls J. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
- 45+1', Ross M. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Galloway B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Wiredu B. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
- 54', Curtis R. 🟨,
- 57', Lawrence E. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 71', Boateng M. 🟨,
- 77', Palmer K. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 78', Johnson J. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 78', Pepple A. ↓, Szucs K. ↑,
- 80', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
- 84', Szucs K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Plymouth Argyle
37% | Draw
27.5% | Luton Town
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.81) |
3.41 ↑
(3.31) |
2.63 ↑
(2.43) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Luton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 2.
- Plymouth is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Luton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Plymouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Luton has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Dale O.
(Inactive)
Ibrahim B.
(Inactive)
MacKenzie J.
(Shin Injury)
Oseni O.
(Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Inactive)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Jones I.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Luton Town?
Plymouth Argyle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Plymouth Argyle?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town were as follows:
13.09.2025
Luton Town
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:3
19.02.2025
Luton Town
-
Plymouth Argyle
1:1
27.09.2024
Plymouth Argyle
-
Luton Town
3:1
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:29 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52:30 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Bolton | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 55 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 42:35 | 7 | 53 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 53:42 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Bradford City | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 49 |
| 7 | Luton | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:35 | 5 | 45 |
| 8 | Peterborough | 31 | 14 | 2 | 15 | 45:41 | 4 | 44 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 43 |
| 10 | Reading | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 43:39 | 4 | 43 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 39 |
| 13 | Exeter | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 38 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 44:46 | -2 | 37 |
| 16 | Plymouth | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 37:46 | -9 | 37 |
| 17 | Blackpool | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 33 |
| 19 | Northampton | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 33 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33:50 | -17 | 33 |
| 21 | Burton | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 33:45 | -12 | 32 |
| 22 | Wigan | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 31 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22:40 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
