Result
2:1
24/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (303/416) | 52% (143/277) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (303/416) | 52% (143/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (31/85) | 32% (23/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (82/135) | 50% (67/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 78 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Jones I. ⚽, Richards J. (A),
- 33', Mengi T. ↓, Lonwijk N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Andersen M. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
- 46', Kodua G. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 46', Ibrahim B. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
- 46', Amaechi X. ↓, MacKenzie J. ↑,
- 55', Edwards J. 🟨,
- 65', Sorinola M. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
- 65', van den Berg D. ↓, Palmer K. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Finn T. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
- 88', Ross M. 🟨,
- 89', Hazard C. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 1, Clark J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Edwards J. ↓, Pleguezuelo J. ↑,
- 90+5', Richards J. ↓, Lawrence E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
41.4% | Draw
26.5% | Plymouth Argyle
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.12) |
3.41 ↑
(3.35) |
2.82 ↓
(2.96) |
10%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Plymouth (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Plymouth (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Plymouth Argyle?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Luton Town?
Plymouth Argyle has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
24.01.2026
Plymouth Argyle
-
Luton Town
1:0
13.09.2025
Luton Town
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:3
19.02.2025
Luton Town
-
Plymouth Argyle
1:1
27.09.2024
Plymouth Argyle
-
Luton Town
3:1
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
