Result
2:3
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 8
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (302/376) | 56% (117/209) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (302/376) | 56% (117/209) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 31% (22/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (116/169) | 48% (39/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (12/54) | 50% (7/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 78 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.75 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', Watts C. ↓, Dale O. ↑,
- 15', 0 - 1, Sorinola M. ⚽, Edwards J. (A),
- 19', Wiredu B. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Yates J. (Pen),
- 26', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 2, Ibrahim B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nordas L. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
- 46', Lonwijk N. ↓, Naismith K. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 2, Wells N. (Pen),
- 50', Edwards J. 🟥,
- 52', Ross M. ↓, Galloway B. ↑,
- 52', Alli M. 🟨,
- 60', Kodua G. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 71', Andersen M. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 3, Ibrahim B. ⚽,
- 76', Mumba B. 🟨,
- 84', Nelson Z. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
- 87', Sorinola M. ↓, McCabe L. ↑,
- 87', Tolaj L. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
- 90+7', Galloway B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
59.7% | Draw
23.2% | Plymouth Argyle
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.51) |
4.07 ↓
(4.27) |
5.5 ↓
(5.56) |
5.1%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Calf Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hazard C.
(Knee Injury)
MacKenzie J.
(Inactive)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Andersen M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Paterson J.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Plymouth Argyle?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Luton Town?
Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
19.02.2025
Luton Town
-
Plymouth Argyle
1:1
27.09.2024
Plymouth Argyle
-
Luton Town
3:1
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Lincoln | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Cardiff | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Luton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Bolton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 | Northampton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Wigan | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Reading | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 23 | Burton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
