Luton Town vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 8
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLTFC+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.310.75
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
173
Passes
80% (302/376)56% (117/209)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.310.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.111.25
Total shots
156
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
173
Touches in opposition box
4217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
911
Passes
80% (302/376)56% (117/209)
Long passes
45% (22/49)31% (22/71)
Passes in final third
69% (116/169)48% (39/82)
Crosses
22% (12/54)50% (7/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.35
Throw-ins
2621
Fouls
1210
Tackles
100% (6/6)64% (14/22)
Duels won
4661
Clearances
2478
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
1.252.11
Goals prevented
-1.750.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Watts C. , Dale O. ,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Sorinola M. , Edwards J. (A),
  • 19', Wiredu B. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Yates J. (Pen),
  • 26', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 2, Ibrahim B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Nordas L. , Wells N. ,
  • 46', Lonwijk N. , Naismith K. ,
  • 49', 2 - 2, Wells N. (Pen),
  • 50', Edwards J. 🟥,
  • 52', Ross M. , Galloway B. ,
  • 52', Alli M. 🟨,
  • 60', Kodua G. , Morris S. ,
  • 71', Andersen M. , Bramall C. ,
  • 75', 2 - 3, Ibrahim B. ,
  • 76', Mumba B. 🟨,
  • 84', Nelson Z. , Gbode J. ,
  • 87', Sorinola M. , McCabe L. ,
  • 87', Tolaj L. , Pepple A. ,
  • 90+7', Galloway B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
59.7%
Draw
23.2%
Plymouth Argyle
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 21.8% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 21.5% 16.5%

Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.6
(1.51)
4.07
(4.27)
5.5
(5.56)
5.1%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Calf Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Hamstring Injury) Hazard C. (Knee Injury) MacKenzie J. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Andersen M. (Hamstring Injury) Jones I. (Back Injury) Walters R. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Paterson J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    19.02.2025 Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle 1:1
    27.09.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town 3:1
    Latest results of Luton Town
    02.09.2025 Luton Town - Barnet 4:1
    30.08.2025 Burton Albion - Luton Town 0:3
    23.08.2025 Luton Town - Cardiff City 0:1
    16.08.2025 Bradford City - Luton Town 2:1
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff22152540:231747
    2Lincoln23135534:231144
    3Bradford City22127332:211143
    4Stockport County22115633:29438
    5Huddersfield23114842:311137
    6Bolton22107530:21937
    7Stevenage21106525:17836
    8Luton23105833:28535
    9Wycombe2378829:27229
    10Reading2278729:28129
    11Mansfield2285928:28029
    12Wigan2278725:25029
    13Blackpool23851029:30-129
    14Peterborough22921126:28-229
    15Barnsley2084832:32028
    16Leyton Orient23841134:38-428
    17AFC Wimbledon22841024:30-628
    18Burton2276923:29-627
    19Northampton22831122:28-627
    20Exeter22821222:21126
    21Plymouth23821328:38-1026
    22Rotherham23661122:33-1124
    23Doncaster23641323:40-1722
    24Port Vale22361313:30-1715

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