Luton Town vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle
Result
2:3
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 8
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLTFC+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.310.75
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
173
Passes
80% (302/376)56% (117/209)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.310.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.111.25
Total shots
156
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
173
Touches in opposition box
4217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
911
Passes
80% (302/376)56% (117/209)
Long passes
45% (22/49)31% (22/71)
Passes in final third
69% (116/169)48% (39/82)
Crosses
22% (12/54)50% (7/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.35
Throw-ins
2621
Fouls
1210
Tackles
100% (6/6)64% (14/22)
Duels won
4661
Clearances
2478
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
1.252.11
Goals prevented
-1.750.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Watts C. , Dale O. ,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Sorinola M. , Edwards J. (A),
  • 19', Wiredu B. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Yates J. (Pen),
  • 26', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 2, Ibrahim B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Nordas L. , Wells N. ,
  • 46', Lonwijk N. , Naismith K. ,
  • 49', 2 - 2, Wells N. (Pen),
  • 50', Edwards J. 🟥,
  • 52', Ross M. , Galloway B. ,
  • 52', Alli M. 🟨,
  • 60', Kodua G. , Morris S. ,
  • 71', Andersen M. , Bramall C. ,
  • 75', 2 - 3, Ibrahim B. ,
  • 76', Mumba B. 🟨,
  • 84', Nelson Z. , Gbode J. ,
  • 87', Sorinola M. , McCabe L. ,
  • 87', Tolaj L. , Pepple A. ,
  • 90+7', Galloway B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
59.7%
Draw
23.2%
Plymouth Argyle
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 21.8% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 21.5% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.51)
    4.07
    (4.27)
    5.5
    (5.56)
    5.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Calf Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Hamstring Injury) Hazard C. (Knee Injury) MacKenzie J. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Andersen M. (Hamstring Injury) Jones I. (Back Injury) Walters R. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Paterson J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    19.02.2025 Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle 1:1
    27.09.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town 3:1
    Latest results of Luton Town
    02.09.2025 Luton Town - Barnet 4:1
    30.08.2025 Burton Albion - Luton Town 0:3
    23.08.2025 Luton Town - Cardiff City 0:1
    16.08.2025 Bradford City - Luton Town 2:1
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Exeter1451814:14016
    14Wigan1344516:17-116
    15Luton1251614:15-116
    16Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    17Reading1335514:18-414
    18Rotherham1242612:16-414
    19Wycombe1334615:16-113
    20Port Vale1334611:12-113
    21Plymouth1341817:23-613
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two