Middlesbrough vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough).

Championship - Round 43
Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.94	2.20
Ball Possession
75%	25%
Total shots
22	18
Shots on target
8	5
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
11	1
Passes
85% (531/624)	63% (130/207)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94	2.20
xG on target (xGOT)
3.87	1.21
Total shots
22	18
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
10	7
Shots inside the Box
15	13
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
11	1
Touches in opposition box
45	26
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
85% (531/624)	63% (130/207)
Long passes
48% (25/52)	40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
82% (225/273)	53% (40/75)
Crosses
24% (6/25)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.02	1.13
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
92% (11/12)	54% (13/24)
Duels won
50	49
Clearances Total
31	45
Interceptions
2	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	6
xGOT faced
1.21	3.87
Goals prevented
0.21	1.87

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Azaz F. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Bundu M. ⚽,
45+2', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Hazard C. 🟨,
62', Dijksteel A. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
72', Gyabi D. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
73', Forss M. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
78', Bundu M. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
88', Pleguezuelo J. ↓, Puchacz T. ↑,
89', Hardie R. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
89', Houghton J. ↓, Boateng M. ↑,
89', Whittaker M. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
89', Iling Junior S. ↓, Giles R. ↑,
90+2', Edwards J. 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 1, Conway T. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Middlesbrough
69.8%

Draw
18.1%

Plymouth Argyle
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

19.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.1%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)	5.24 ↑ (4.81)	7.93 ↑ (6.08)	4.6% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 44.1% – 94.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Two teams are playing changeable.
In this match Middlesbrough is certain favorite.
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Ankle Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Brynn S. (Muscle Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) Neto Borges (Injury)
There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Talovierov M. (Knee Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.8:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Plymouth Argyle?

Middlesbrough has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Middlesbrough?

Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:

21.12.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough 3:3

24.02.2024 Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle 0:2

04.11.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough 3:3

Latest results of Middlesbrough

12.04.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

08.04.2025 Middlesbrough - Leeds United 0:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough 0:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Oxford United 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

12.04.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield United 2:1 ✺

09.04.2025 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 3:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Norwich City 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Watford - Plymouth Argyle 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Derby County 2:3 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One