Middlesbrough vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle
Result
2:1
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 43
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.942.20
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
2218
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
85% (531/624)63% (130/207)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.942.20
xG on target (xGOT)
3.871.21
Total shots
2218
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
107
Shots inside the Box
1513
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
4526
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
128
Passes
85% (531/624)63% (130/207)
Long passes
48% (25/52)40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
82% (225/273)53% (40/75)
Crosses
24% (6/25)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.021.13
Fouls
812
Tackles
92% (11/12)54% (13/24)
Duels won
5049
Clearances Total
3145
Interceptions
213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.213.87
Goals prevented
0.211.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Azaz F. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Bundu M. ,
  • 45+2', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Hazard C. 🟨,
  • 62', Dijksteel A. , Fry D. ,
  • 72', Gyabi D. , Wright C. ,
  • 73', Forss M. , Iheanacho K. ,
  • 78', Bundu M. , Tijani M. ,
  • 88', Pleguezuelo J. , Puchacz T. ,
  • 89', Hardie R. , Obafemi M. ,
  • 89', Houghton J. , Boateng M. ,
  • 89', Whittaker M. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 89', Iling Junior S. , Giles R. ,
  • 90+2', Edwards J. 🟥,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Conway T. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
69.8%
Draw
18.1%
Plymouth Argyle
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 19.7% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 19.1% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.47)
    5.24
    (4.81)
    7.93
    (6.08)
    4.6%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Middlesbrough is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Ankle Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Brynn S. (Muscle Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) Neto Borges (Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Talovierov M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.8:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough 3:3
    24.02.2024 Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle 0:2
    04.11.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough 3:3
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough853012:5718
    2Coventry844022:71516
    3Stoke842210:5514
    4West Brom84229:7214
    5Bristol City834114:8613
    6Leicester834110:7313
    7Preston83419:7213
    8Swansea83329:7212
    9Charlton83328:6212
    10QPR833211:13-212
    11Birmingham83237:10-311
    12Millwall83236:12-611
    13Ipswich724112:7510
    14Southampton824210:11-110
    15Wrexham823313:14-19
    16Watford82339:10-19
    17Portsmouth82337:9-29
    18Hull823313:16-39
    19Norwich822410:11-18
    20Derby814310:14-47
    21Oxford Utd81349:11-26
    22Blackburn72056:10-46
    23Sheffield Wed81348:15-76
    24Sheffield Utd81073:15-123

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One