Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 17
Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	0.48
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
67% (246/365)	57% (164/288)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	0.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.80	0.42
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
7	1
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
8	3
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
26	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
67% (246/365)	57% (164/288)
Long passes
30% (20/67)	17% (14/81)
Passes in final third
53% (69/129)	44% (42/96)
Crosses
37% (11/30)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.79	0.37
Throw-ins
37	23
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
62% (8/13)	55% (16/29)
Duels won
74	69
Clearances
19	52
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.42	0.80
Goals prevented
-0.58	0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Tolaj L. ⚽, Sorinola M. (A),
59', Heneghan B. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
65', McCabe L. 🟨,
68', Dale O. ↓, Ralls J. ↑,
69', Galloway B. ↓, Benarous A. ↑,
69', Headley J. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
70', Walters R. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
74', Kyle John 🟨,
79', Sorinola M. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
80', Tolaj L. 🟨,
89', Benarous A. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
90+2', Hall C. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
90+8', Edwards J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
46.3%

Draw
27.4%

Plymouth Argyle
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

23.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.94)	3.45 ↓ (3.51)	3.59 ↓ (3.72)	6.4% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 42% – 87.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Port Vale will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
Port Vale has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Plymouth has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
Recently, Plymouth has had a series of away games.
Port Vale might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury) Lawrence-Gabriel J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Hamstring Injury) Benarous A. (Inactive) MacKenzie J. (Shin Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury) Watts C. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Edwards J. (Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Plymouth Argyle?

Port Vale has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Port Vale?

Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:

07.05.2023 Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle 1:3

02.12.2022 Plymouth Argyle - Port Vale 0:2

Latest results of Port Vale

15.11.2025 Port Vale - Wycombe Wanderers 0:0 ✺

11.11.2025 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 3:4 ✺

08.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 4:0 ✺

02.11.2025 Port Vale - Maldon & Tiptree 5:1 ✺

27.10.2025 Port Vale - Stockport County 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

11.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle 1:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Huddersfield Town - Plymouth Argyle 3:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle 2:0 ✺

28.10.2025 Mansfield Town - Plymouth Argyle 2:0 ✺

23.10.2025 Exeter City - Plymouth Argyle 2:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Doncaster	39	14	8	17	42:59	-17	50
16	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
17	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	37	7	10	20	29:50	-21	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two