Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 17
Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	0.48
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
67% (246/365)	57% (164/288)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	0.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.80	0.42
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
7	1
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
8	3
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
26	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
67% (246/365)	57% (164/288)
Long passes
30% (20/67)	17% (14/81)
Passes in final third
53% (69/129)	44% (42/96)
Crosses
37% (11/30)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.79	0.37
Throw-ins
37	23
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
62% (8/13)	55% (16/29)
Duels won
74	69
Clearances
19	52
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.42	0.80
Goals prevented
-0.58	0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Tolaj L. ⚽, Sorinola M. (A),
59', Heneghan B. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
65', McCabe L. 🟨,
68', Dale O. ↓, Ralls J. ↑,
69', Galloway B. ↓, Benarous A. ↑,
69', Headley J. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
70', Walters R. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
74', Kyle John 🟨,
79', Sorinola M. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
80', Tolaj L. 🟨,
89', Benarous A. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
90+2', Hall C. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
90+8', Edwards J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
46.3%

Draw
27.4%

Plymouth Argyle
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

23.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.94)	3.45 ↓ (3.51)	3.59 ↓ (3.72)	6.4% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 42% – 87.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Port Vale will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
Port Vale has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Plymouth has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
Recently, Plymouth has had a series of away games.
Port Vale might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury) Lawrence-Gabriel J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Hamstring Injury) Benarous A. (Inactive) MacKenzie J. (Shin Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury) Watts C. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Edwards J. (Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Plymouth Argyle?

Port Vale has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Port Vale?

Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:

07.05.2023 Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle 1:3

02.12.2022 Plymouth Argyle - Port Vale 0:2

Latest results of Port Vale

15.11.2025 Port Vale - Wycombe Wanderers 0:0 ✺

11.11.2025 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 3:4 ✺

08.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 4:0 ✺

02.11.2025 Port Vale - Maldon & Tiptree 5:1 ✺

27.10.2025 Port Vale - Stockport County 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

11.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle 1:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Huddersfield Town - Plymouth Argyle 3:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle 2:0 ✺

28.10.2025 Mansfield Town - Plymouth Argyle 2:0 ✺

23.10.2025 Exeter City - Plymouth Argyle 2:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Wycombe	35	14	11	10	50:36	14	53
7	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
8	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
9	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	32	12	8	12	53:54	-1	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	34	11	9	14	39:40	-1	42
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	39:37	2	41
17	Burton	35	10	10	15	39:50	-11	40
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Rotherham	34	9	8	17	33:47	-14	35
23	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two