Stoke City vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
04/01/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 26
  • Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.08
Ball Possession
64%36%
Goal Attempts
182
Shots on Goal
31
Shots off Goal
81
Blocked Shots
70
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
63
Shots inside the Box
80
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
1113
Offsides
02
Fouls
1311
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2715
Touches in the Opposition Box
238
Passes
80% (423/527)69% (205/297)
Passes in the final third
63% (104/165)53% (37/70)
Crosses
8% (2/25)13% (1/8)
Tackles
82% (9/11)65% (20/31)
Clearances Total
948
Interceptions
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Gooch L. 🟨,
  • 41', Hazard C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Gallagher S. , Burger W. ,
  • 59', Al Hajj R. 🟨,
  • 65', Obafemi M. , Issaka F. ,
  • 70', Gyabi D. , Forshaw A. ,
  • 79', Sorinola M. , Ogbeta N. ,
  • 79', Al Hajj R. , Houghton J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stoke City
58.6%
Draw
22%
Plymouth Argyle
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 22.2% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 16.3% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stoke City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Stoke City - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.53)
    4.26
    (4.25)
    4.9
    (5.74)
    5.7%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Stoke City - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Recent matches Stoke is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Plymouth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Stoke is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Stoke: Manhoef M. (Knee Injury) Pearson B. (Muscle Injury) Thompson J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Bundu M. (Muscle Injury) Edwards J. (Hamstring Injury) Tijani M. (Leg Injury) Wright C. (Red Card)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Stoke City 0:1
    20.04.2024 Stoke City - Plymouth Argyle 3:0
    02.12.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Stoke City 2:1
    Latest results of Stoke City
    01.01.2025 Burnley - Stoke City 0:0
    29.12.2024 Stoke City - Sunderland 1:0
    26.12.2024 Stoke City - Leeds United 0:2
    14.12.2024 Stoke City - Cardiff City 2:2
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One