Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea).

Championship - Round 41
Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.77	0.56
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
18	6
Shots on target
8	3
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
85% (517/609)	56% (143/254)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77	0.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.89	0.85
Total shots
18	6
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
25	11
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
85% (517/609)	56% (143/254)
Long passes
52% (37/71)	26% (17/65)
Passes in final third
66% (89/134)	29% (20/70)
Crosses
37% (7/19)	43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.76	0.19
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
57% (4/7)	68% (17/25)
Duels won
59	50
Clearances Total
16	27
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
0.85	2.89
Goals prevented
0.85	-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, O'Brien L. ⚽, Ronald (A),
21', Randell A. 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Darling H. ⚽, Eom J. (A),
35', 3 - 0, Key J. ⚽, Franco G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Obafemi M. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
46', Szucs K. ↓, Puchacz T. ↑,
46', Randell A. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
63', Allen J. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
65', Hardie R. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
72', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
76', Ronald ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
76', Franco G. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
78', Pleguezuelo J. ↓, Palsson V. ↑,
82', Key J. ↓, Naughton K. ↑,
82', Eom J. ↓, Parker S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Swansea City
56.4%

Draw
25.2%

Plymouth Argyle
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

24.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	3.78 ↑ (3.6)	5.29 ↑ (4.8)	4.6% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Swansea City will win (31 of 37 users predict this - 83.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.9% – 95.66%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swansea City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match Swansea is a favorite.
There will not play in Swansea: Pedersen K. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Talovierov M. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Swansea: Peart-Harris M. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Katic N. (Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Swansea won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 2.3:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Plymouth Argyle?

Swansea City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Swansea City?

Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:

10.12.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City 1:2

03.02.2024 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 0:1

07.10.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City 1:3

Latest results of Swansea City

05.04.2025 Swansea City - Derby County 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Leeds United - Swansea City 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Swansea City - Burnley 0:2 ✺

12.03.2025 Watford - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Swansea City - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

05.04.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Norwich City 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Watford - Plymouth Argyle 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Derby County 2:3 ✺

12.03.2025 Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield Wednesday 0:3 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One