Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.09
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
86% (494/572)77% (221/288)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.041.31
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
614
Passes
86% (494/572)77% (221/288)
Long passes
56% (33/59)50% (36/72)
Passes in final third
72% (84/117)63% (50/80)
Crosses
14% (3/21)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.571.06
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
156
Tackles
69% (11/16)68% (13/19)
Duels won
3959
Clearances
2019
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.311.04
Goals prevented
0.310.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. , Stamenic M. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Wiredu B. , Sorinola M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Eom J. , Key J. ,
  • 62', Burgess C. , Cabango B. ,
  • 62', Stamenic M. , Galbraith E. ,
  • 62', Inoussa Z. , Yalcouye M. ,
  • 65', Ibrahim B. , Watts C. ,
  • 65', Oseni O. , Tolaj L. ,
  • 70', Casey K. , Cullen L. ,
  • 71', Finn T. , Issaka F. ,
  • 72', Hatch J. , Mumba B. ,
  • 76', Roberts C. 🟨,
  • 80', Fulton J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pepple A. , Boateng M. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 3)
  • 1, Vipotnik Z. (Pen),
  • 1, Tolaj L. (Pen),
  • 2, Galbraith E. (Pen),
  • 2, Sorinola M. (Pen),
  • 3, Cullen L. (Pen),
  • 3, Watts C. (Pen),
  • 4, Cabango B. (Pen),
  • 4, Mumba B. (Pen),
  • 5, Widell M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Swansea City
64.8%
Draw
21.4%
Plymouth Argyle
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 25.1% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 22.5% 22.2%

Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.48
(1.71)
4.52
(3.75)
7.11
(4.72)
3.6%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Swansea City will win (38 of 38 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swansea City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Swansea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Swansea is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Hazard C. (Knee Injury) Issaka F. (Thigh Injury) MacKenzie J. (Inactive) Paterson J. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swansea: Lissah F. (Inactive) Santos R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Injury) Galloway B. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 3:0
    10.12.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City 1:2
    03.02.2024 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 0:1
    07.10.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City 1:3
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BarrowPreston0 : 1
    2WrexhamHull4 : 3
    3PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    4GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    5BurnleyBye
    6West BromDerby1 : 2
    7CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    8CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    9WolvesBye
    10ByeWest Ham
    11EvertonBye
    12ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    13TranmereBurton1 : 2
    14HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    16ByeChelsea
    17BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    18BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    20ByeArsenal
    21BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    22SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    23Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    24ByeBrighton
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29Crystal PalaceBye
    31NewportMillwall0 : 1
    32CoventryLuton1 : 0
    33NewcastleBye
    35StokeWalsall1 : 0
    36BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    37TottenhamBye
    39AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    40MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    41WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    42Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    43BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    44Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    45FulhamBye
    46Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    47Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    48CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    49SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    50PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    52ByeNottingham
    53SunderlandBye
    54HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    56ByeManchester City
    57BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    58ByeLeeds
    59GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    60ByeManchester Utd
    61BournemouthBye
    62ByeBrentford
    64ByeAston Villa

    1/32-finals
    1PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    2ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    3BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    4CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    5WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    6EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    7BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    8ByeChelsea
    9BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    10ByeArsenal
    11BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    12Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15Crystal PalaceBye
    16MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    17NewcastleBye
    18StokeBradford City0 : 3
    19TottenhamBye
    20AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    21WiganStockport County1 : 0
    22BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    23FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    24Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1
    25SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    26ByeNottingham
    27SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    28ByeManchester City
    29Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    30GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    31BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    32ByeAston Villa

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamReading2 : 0
    2BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    3WolvesEverton2 : 0
    4LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    5Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    6BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    7LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    8Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    9NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    10TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    11WiganWycombe0 : 2
    12FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0
    13SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    14HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    15Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    16BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamCardiff1 : 2
    2WolvesChelsea3 : 4
    3ArsenalBrighton2 : 0
    4LiverpoolCrystal Palace0 : 3
    5NewcastleTottenham2 : 0
    6WycombeFulham1 : 2
    7SwanseaManchester City1 : 3
    8GrimsbyBrentford0 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1CardiffChelsea1 : 3
    2ArsenalCrystal Palace2 : 1
    3NewcastleFulham2 : 1
    4Manchester CityBrentford2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaArsenal
    2NewcastleManchester City

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2