Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Ruch Chorzów – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 13
  • Referee: Karski L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
77
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
128
Corner Kicks
77
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
98
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Noiszewski K. (Pen),
  • 40', Korczakowski I. , Lis J. ,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Szwedzik P. , Kolar M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 2, Szwedzik P. ,
  • 51', Szwedzik P. 🟨,
  • 58', Ceglarz P. , Ventura D. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Adamski R. (Pen),
  • 72', Konstantyn J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 72', Szczepaniak M. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 77', Lis J. 🟨,
  • 86', Kolar M. , Mezghrani M. ,
  • 86', Nagamatsu S. , Sobeczko J. ,
  • 90+2', Lis J. , Jaron D. ,
  • 90+4', Szwedzik P. , Bala T. ,
  • 90+6', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Los K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
43%
Draw
27%
Ruch Chorzów
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 27.6% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 27.1% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's performance.
  • Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.45)
    3.55
    (3.35)
    3.26
    (2.67)
    4.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 3 - 60%). Ruch Chorzów (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ruch Chorzów has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Ruch Chorzów
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2