Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Ruch Chorzów – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 13
  • Referee: Karski L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
77
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
128
Corner Kicks
77
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
98
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Noiszewski K. (Pen),
  • 40', Korczakowski I. , Lis J. ,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Szwedzik P. , Kolar M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 2, Szwedzik P. ,
  • 51', Szwedzik P. 🟨,
  • 58', Ceglarz P. , Ventura D. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Adamski R. (Pen),
  • 72', Konstantyn J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 72', Szczepaniak M. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 77', Lis J. 🟨,
  • 86', Kolar M. , Mezghrani M. ,
  • 86', Nagamatsu S. , Sobeczko J. ,
  • 90+2', Lis J. , Jaron D. ,
  • 90+4', Szwedzik P. , Bala T. ,
  • 90+6', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Los K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
43%
Draw
27%
Ruch Chorzów
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 27.6% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 27.1% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's performance.
  • Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.45)
    3.55
    (3.35)
    3.26
    (2.67)
    4.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 3 - 60%). Ruch Chorzów (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ruch Chorzów has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Ruch Chorzów
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla22146253:183548
    2Chrobry Glogow22115631:201138
    3Wieczysta Krakow22107547:331437
    4Polonia Warszawa22107537:31637
    5Grodzisk M2299439:291036
    6S. Rzeszow22105735:35035
    7Polonia Bytom22105737:28935
    8Slask Wroclaw2297640:36434
    9Legnica22104839:39034
    10LKS Lodz2295834:35-132
    11Ruch Chorzow2287734:33131
    12Odra Opole2268821:27-626
    13Pogon Siedlce2268824:24026
    14Puszcza22510727:29-225
    15Pruszkow22541323:44-2119
    16Leczna22291125:41-1615
    17Tychy22351427:48-2114
    18Stal Mielec22351425:48-2314

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2