Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 13
- Referee: Karski L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
Match Stats
| |
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| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
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| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
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| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 12 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 9 | 8 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Noiszewski K. (Pen),
- 40', Korczakowski I. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Szwedzik P. ⚽, Kolar M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 2, Szwedzik P. ⚽,
- 51', Szwedzik P. 🟨,
- 58', Ceglarz P. ↓, Ventura D. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Adamski R. (Pen),
- 72', Konstantyn J. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
- 72', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
- 77', Lis J. 🟨,
- 86', Kolar M. ↓, Mezghrani M. ↑,
- 86', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Sobeczko J. ↑,
- 90+2', Lis J. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
- 90+4', Szwedzik P. ↓, Bala T. ↑,
- 90+6', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
- 90+8', Los K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 43% | Draw 27% | Ruch Chorzów 29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's performance.Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↓ (2.45) |
3.55 ↑ (3.35) |
3.26 ↑ (2.67) |
4.3% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 3 - 60%). Ruch Chorzów (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ruch Chorzów has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won against Ruch Chorzów?
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ruch Chorzów won against Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Ruch Chorzów has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów were as follows:
Latest results of Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Latest results of Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:39 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | Grodzisk M | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 44:35 | 9 | 42 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Wieczysta Krakow | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 51:35 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:36 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Legnica | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | LKS Lodz | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36:36 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 35 |
| 12 | Puszcza | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26:49 | -23 | 20 |
| 17 | Leczna | 25 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 27:46 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Tychy | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2