Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Śląsk Wrocław – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
109
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1311
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
1011

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Rosiak M. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Adamski R. , Noiszewski K. (A),
  • 19', Rosiak M. 🟨,
  • 19', Marjanac L. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Banaszak P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Szczepaniak M. , Jaron D. ,
  • 61', Jedrasik J. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 61', Adkonis J. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 71', Konstantyn J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 74', Marjanac L. , Jezierski J. ,
  • 74', Klimek A. , Sharabura Y. ,
  • 77', Banaszak P. , Kurowski K. ,
  • 82', Olewinski O. , Kargulewicz K. ,
  • 87', Jezierski J. 🟨,
  • 88', Rosiak M. , Halimi B. ,
  • 88', Samiec-Talar P. , Guercio T. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Jaron D. ,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
34.9%
Draw
26.2%
Śląsk Wrocław
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 28.5% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 29.5% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.62)
    3.5
    (3.13)
    2.37
    (2.39)
    8.8%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Śląsk will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 2 - 40%). Śląsk (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Śląsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla22146253:183548
    2Chrobry Glogow22115631:201138
    3Wieczysta Krakow22107547:331437
    4Polonia Warszawa22107537:31637
    5Grodzisk M2299439:291036
    6S. Rzeszow22105735:35035
    7Polonia Bytom22105737:28935
    8Slask Wroclaw2297640:36434
    9Legnica22104839:39034
    10LKS Lodz2295834:35-132
    11Ruch Chorzow2287734:33131
    12Odra Opole2268821:27-626
    13Pogon Siedlce2268824:24026
    14Puszcza22510727:29-225
    15Pruszkow22541323:44-2119
    16Leczna22291125:41-1615
    17Tychy22351427:48-2114
    18Stal Mielec22351425:48-2314

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2