Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Śląsk Wrocław – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
109
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1311
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
1011

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Rosiak M. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Adamski R. , Noiszewski K. (A),
  • 19', Rosiak M. 🟨,
  • 19', Marjanac L. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Banaszak P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Szczepaniak M. , Jaron D. ,
  • 61', Jedrasik J. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 61', Adkonis J. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 71', Konstantyn J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 74', Marjanac L. , Jezierski J. ,
  • 74', Klimek A. , Sharabura Y. ,
  • 77', Banaszak P. , Kurowski K. ,
  • 82', Olewinski O. , Kargulewicz K. ,
  • 87', Jezierski J. 🟨,
  • 88', Rosiak M. , Halimi B. ,
  • 88', Samiec-Talar P. , Guercio T. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Jaron D. ,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
34.9%
Draw
26.2%
Śląsk Wrocław
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 28.5% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 29.5% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.62)
    3.5
    (3.13)
    2.37
    (2.39)
    8.8%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Śląsk will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 2 - 40%). Śląsk (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Śląsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2