Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Śląsk Wrocław – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
109
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1311
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
1011

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Rosiak M. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Adamski R. , Noiszewski K. (A),
  • 19', Rosiak M. 🟨,
  • 19', Marjanac L. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Banaszak P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Szczepaniak M. , Jaron D. ,
  • 61', Jedrasik J. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 61', Adkonis J. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 71', Konstantyn J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 74', Marjanac L. , Jezierski J. ,
  • 74', Klimek A. , Sharabura Y. ,
  • 77', Banaszak P. , Kurowski K. ,
  • 82', Olewinski O. , Kargulewicz K. ,
  • 87', Jezierski J. 🟨,
  • 88', Rosiak M. , Halimi B. ,
  • 88', Samiec-Talar P. , Guercio T. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Jaron D. ,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
34.9%
Draw
26.2%
Śląsk Wrocław
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 28.5% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 29.5% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.62)
    3.5
    (3.13)
    2.37
    (2.39)
    8.8%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Śląsk will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 2 - 40%). Śląsk (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Śląsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla27168361:273456
    2Slask Wroclaw27138651:401147
    3Chrobry Glogow27136839:261345
    4Grodzisk M27119745:40542
    5Ruch Chorzow27119741:37442
    6LKS Lodz27118840:38241
    7Polonia Warszawa27118843:39441
    8Wieczysta Krakow26117852:401240
    9Legnica27117945:45040
    10S. Rzeszow271161040:42-239
    11Puszcza27911737:33438
    12Polonia Bytom26107940:33737
    13Odra Opole27810927:33-634
    14Pogon Siedlce27791127:31-430
    15Stal Mielec27751537:52-1526
    16Pruszkow27651629:52-2323
    17Leczna273111332:49-1720
    18Tychy27361831:60-2915

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2