Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Śląsk Wrocław – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
109
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1311
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
1011

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Rosiak M. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Adamski R. , Noiszewski K. (A),
  • 19', Rosiak M. 🟨,
  • 19', Marjanac L. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Banaszak P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Szczepaniak M. , Jaron D. ,
  • 61', Jedrasik J. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 61', Adkonis J. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 71', Konstantyn J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 74', Marjanac L. , Jezierski J. ,
  • 74', Klimek A. , Sharabura Y. ,
  • 77', Banaszak P. , Kurowski K. ,
  • 82', Olewinski O. , Kargulewicz K. ,
  • 87', Jezierski J. 🟨,
  • 88', Rosiak M. , Halimi B. ,
  • 88', Samiec-Talar P. , Guercio T. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Jaron D. ,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
34.9%
Draw
26.2%
Śląsk Wrocław
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 28.5% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 29.5% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.62)
    3.5
    (3.13)
    2.37
    (2.39)
    8.8%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Śląsk will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 16.1%74.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 2 - 40%). Śląsk (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Śląsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla301611365:313459
    2Slask Wroclaw30159660:441654
    3Wieczysta Krakow30148860:431750
    4Chrobry Glogow301461041:291248
    5Polonia Warszawa30138946:43347
    6Ruch Chorzow301111844:42244
    7LKS Lodz29128944:42244
    8Grodzisk M291110847:44343
    9Legnica301271147:50-343
    10Puszcza301012841:37442
    11Polonia Bytom301181147:40741
    12S. Rzeszow301161342:49-739
    13Odra Opole309111028:35-738
    14Pogon Siedlce30991231:32-136
    15Stal Mielec30851743:58-1529
    16Leczna305121337:51-1427
    17Pruszkow30671734:58-2425
    18Tychy30561935:64-2921

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2