Kotwica Kołobrzeg vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 33
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
121
Blocked Shots
56
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
10
Throw-ins
2519
Fouls
1520
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Drag M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Welna T. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Mis K. ,
  • 66', Podlinski K. 🟨,
  • 78', Kort K. , Kostevych V. ,
  • 80', Szuprytowski D. , Dzieciol E. ,
  • 80', Zielonka N. , Bykowski M. ,
  • 84', Kurowski M. , Zietek L. ,
  • 89', Drag M. , Danielewicz K. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Perez J. , Zietek L. (A),
  • 90+3', Famulak M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kotwica Kołobrzeg
36.4%
Draw
28.9%
Pogoń Siedlce
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 28.6% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 27.7% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kotwica Kołobrzeg's performance.
  • Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Siedlce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kotwica Kołobrzeg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Siedlce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (3.11)
    3.25
    (3.27)
    2.74
    (2.27)
    6.4%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Pogoń Siedlce (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Pogoń Siedlce (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Recent performances by Kotwica Kołobrzeg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pogoń Siedlce is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kotwica Kołobrzeg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2:1
    05.04.2024 Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce 2:2
    23.09.2023 Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg 3:3
    04.06.2023 Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce 1:1
    29.10.2022 Pogoń Siedlce - Kotwica Kołobrzeg 0:0
    Latest results of Kotwica Kołobrzeg
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla22146253:183548
    2Chrobry Glogow22115631:201138
    3Wieczysta Krakow22107547:331437
    4Polonia Warszawa22107537:31637
    5Grodzisk M2299439:291036
    6S. Rzeszow22105735:35035
    7Polonia Bytom22105737:28935
    8Slask Wroclaw2297640:36434
    9Legnica22104839:39034
    10LKS Lodz2295834:35-132
    11Ruch Chorzow2287734:33131
    12Odra Opole2268821:27-626
    13Pogon Siedlce2268824:24026
    14Puszcza22510727:29-225
    15Pruszkow22541323:44-2119
    16Leczna22291125:41-1615
    17Tychy22351427:48-2114
    18Stal Mielec22351425:48-2314

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2