Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce).

Division 1 - Round 12
Referee: Kaliszewski F. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats


Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
5	4
Corner Kicks
4	2
Yellow Cards
6	4
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
6	2
Corner Kicks
4	2
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
16	16
Throw-ins
15	17
Fouls
15	16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Famulak M. 🟨,
17', Misiak P. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Noiszewski K. ⚽, Olewinski O. (A),
30', Olewinski O. 🟨,
38', Los K. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Dembek B. ⚽, Famulak M. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Szczepaniak M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Olewinski O. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
52', Dzieciol E. 🟨,
59', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
65', Zbrog J. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
65', Misiak P. ↓, Pik D. ↑,
73', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
73', Konstantyn J. ↓, Wypart O. ↑,
73', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
75', Barnowski D. 🟨,
85', Demianiuk C. 🟨,
86', Dzieciol E. ↓, Rybak A. ↑,
86', Korczakowski I. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
90+3', Adkonis J. ↓, Staniszewski J. ↑,
90+5', Danielewicz K. 🟨,
90+5', Flis M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Pogoń Siedlce
37.4%

Draw
27%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

25.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.43)	3.41 ↓ (3.55)	2.61 ↑ (2.59)	7.8% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Pogoń Siedlce (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 25%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Pogoń Siedlce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Pogoń Siedlce has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Siedlce won against Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Pogoń Siedlce has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won against Pogoń Siedlce?

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki were as follows:

04.02.2023 Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3:1

Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce

27.09.2025 GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce 1:3 ✺

24.09.2025 Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce 2:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Pogoń Siedlce - Śląsk Wrocław 2:3 ✺

12.09.2025 Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Siedlce 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

29.09.2025 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź 3:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk 0:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Stal Mielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna 3:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2:1 ✺

Polish Division 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wisla	22	14	6	2	53:18	35	48
2	Chrobry Glogow	22	11	5	6	31:20	11	38
3	Wieczysta Krakow	22	10	7	5	47:33	14	37
4	Polonia Warszawa	22	10	7	5	37:31	6	37
5	Grodzisk M	22	9	9	4	39:29	10	36
6	S. Rzeszow	22	10	5	7	35:35	0	35
7	Polonia Bytom	22	10	5	7	37:28	9	35
8	Slask Wroclaw	22	9	7	6	40:36	4	34
9	Legnica	22	10	4	8	39:39	0	34
10	LKS Lodz	22	9	5	8	34:35	-1	32
11	Ruch Chorzow	22	8	7	7	34:33	1	31
12	Odra Opole	22	6	8	8	21:27	-6	26
13	Pogon Siedlce	22	6	8	8	24:24	0	26
14	Puszcza	22	5	10	7	27:29	-2	25
15	Pruszkow	22	5	4	13	23:44	-21	19
16	Leczna	22	2	9	11	25:41	-16	15
17	Tychy	22	3	5	14	27:48	-21	14
18	Stal Mielec	22	3	5	14	25:48	-23	14

      Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
      Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ Division 2