Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 12
  • Referee: Kaliszewski F. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
64
Total shots
116
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1616
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
1516

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', Famulak M. 🟨,
  • 17', Misiak P. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Noiszewski K. , Olewinski O. (A),
  • 30', Olewinski O. 🟨,
  • 38', Los K. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Dembek B. , Famulak M. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Szczepaniak M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Olewinski O. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 52', Dzieciol E. 🟨,
  • 59', Szuprytowski D. , Demianiuk C. ,
  • 65', Zbrog J. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 65', Misiak P. , Pik D. ,
  • 73', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
  • 73', Konstantyn J. , Wypart O. ,
  • 73', Szczepaniak M. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 75', Barnowski D. 🟨,
  • 85', Demianiuk C. 🟨,
  • 86', Dzieciol E. , Rybak A. ,
  • 86', Korczakowski I. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 90+3', Adkonis J. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 90+5', Danielewicz K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Flis M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Siedlce
37.4%
Draw
27%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 26.1% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 25.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.43)
    3.41
    (3.55)
    2.61
    (2.59)
    7.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Pogoń Siedlce (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 25%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Pogoń Siedlce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Pogoń Siedlce has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki were as follows:
    04.02.2023 Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2