Pogoń Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 11
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.37
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
278
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
84% (328/392)87% (396/455)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.37
xG on target (xGOT)
3.141.06
Total shots
278
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
194
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
4613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
84% (328/392)87% (396/455)
Long passes
60% (25/42)55% (21/38)
Passes in final third
69% (72/104)69% (63/91)
Crosses
32% (7/22)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.321.37
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
1116
Tackles
57% (4/7)44% (4/9)
Duels won
3436
Clearances
1728
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.063.14
Goals prevented
0.061.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', Twumasi E. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Greenwood S. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Barkovskiy G. ⚽, Juande (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Lewicki J. ↑,
  • 46', Loncar D. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
  • 69', Lokilo J. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
  • 69', Twumasi E. ↓, Mokwa T. ↑,
  • 74', Molnar R. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
  • 74', Ali H. 🟨,
  • 79', Juwara M. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Grosicki K. (Pen),
  • 90', Felix J. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
  • 90+1', Chrapek M. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
  • 90+1', Grosicki K. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
  • 90+2', Kostorz K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
50.6%		Draw
26.4%		Piast Gliwice
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 25.8% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 26.8% 27.4%

Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.91 ↓
(2.03)		 3.73 ↑
(3.6)		 4.4 ↑
(3.26)		 1.9%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Piast will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 59.8% – 94.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
    • In recent matches, Pogoń Szczecin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Piast is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Piast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Pogoń Szczecin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Injury)
    • There will not play in Piast: Dalmau A. (Red Card) Katsantonis A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.6:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1
    26.02.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice 2:0
    06.10.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice 1:0
    26.06.2024 Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    20.04.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice 0:2
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    28.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk 3:4 ✺
    13.09.2025 Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 2:0 ✺
    22.08.2025 Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Piast Gliwice
    27.09.2025 Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza 4:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Korona Kielce 2 - Piast Gliwice 0:1
    20.09.2025 Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice 1:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1 ✺
    06.09.2025 Piast Gliwice - GKS Tychy 3:0
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1793527:19830
    2Jagiellonia1483327:18927
    3Wisla Plock1576220:11927
    4Radomiak Radom1774633:28525
    5Cracovia1674523:19425
    6Lech Poznan1566327:24324
    7Korona Kielce1765620:18223
    8Rakow1572621:21023
    9Zaglebie1556428:23521
    10Widzew Lodz1762925:26-120
    11Pogon Szczecin1762926:30-420
    12GKS Katowice1662823:27-420
    13Motor Lublin1547421:25-419
    14Legia1546518:17118
    15Arka Gdynia1653813:28-1518
    16Lechia Gdansk1764732:35-317
    17Termalica B-B1744922:34-1216
    18Piast Gliwice1535716:19-314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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