Piast Gliwice vs Pogoń Szczecin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin
Result
2:1
13/04/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 28
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.92
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
71% (182/258)86% (448/521)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.450.29
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1121
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
912
Passes
71% (182/258)86% (448/521)
Long passes
31% (18/59)59% (29/49)
Passes in final third
59% (50/85)71% (106/150)
Crosses
8% (1/12)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.10
Fouls
129
Tackles
89% (8/9)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4355
Clearances Total
3226
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.291.45
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Kostadinov T. , Chrapek M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Chrapek M. ,
  • 52', Wedrychowski M. , Przyborek A. ,
  • 52', Gamboa J. , Lukasiak K. ,
  • 66', Gale T. , Jirka E. ,
  • 66', Felix J. , Szczepanski M. ,
  • 69', Ulvestad F. , Smolinski K. ,
  • 69', Leo Borges , Keramitsis D. ,
  • 77', Grosicki K. , Korczakowski O. ,
  • 78', Chrapek M. , Tomasiewicz G. ,
  • 85', Rosolek M. , Karbowy F. ,
  • 90', Mokwa T. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Dziczek P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Koulouris E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Piast Gliwice
31.6%
Draw
30%
Pogoń Szczecin
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 30% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 31.4% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.6)
    3.12
    (3.12)
    2.45
    (2.76)
    6.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Piast won 2.
    • Piast is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Pogoń Szczecin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Pogoń Szczecin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Piast: Felix J. (Inactive) Katsantonis A. (Injury) Miguelito (Yellow Cards) Pyrka A. (Coach's decision)
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Malec M. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Piast won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:13 (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Piast won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.5:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice 2:0
    06.10.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice 1:0
    26.06.2024 Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    20.04.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice 0:2
    20.10.2023 Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:0
    Latest results of Piast Gliwice
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Radomiak Radom21106:244
    3Termalica B-B21014:223
    4Wisla Plock11002:023
    5Gornik Zabrze11002:113
    6Motor Lublin11001:013
    7Widzew Lodz11001:013
    8Rakow11001:013
    9Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    10Piast Gliwice00000:000
    11Legia00000:000
    12GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    13Zaglebie10010:1-10
    14Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    15Lech Poznan10011:4-30
    16Pogon Szczecin10011:5-40
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk10011:2-1-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1