Pogoń Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 11
Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.09	1.37
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
27	8
Shots on target
10	3
Big Chances
6	2
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
84% (328/392)	87% (396/455)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.09	1.37
xG on target (xGOT)
3.14	1.06
Total shots
27	8
Shots on target
10	3
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
9	2
Shots inside the Box
19	4
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
3	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
6	2
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
46	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
16	11
Passes
84% (328/392)	87% (396/455)
Long passes
60% (25/42)	55% (21/38)
Passes in final third
69% (72/104)	69% (63/91)
Crosses
32% (7/22)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.32	1.37
Throw-ins
17	13
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
57% (4/7)	44% (4/9)
Duels won
34	36
Clearances
17	28
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	7
xGOT faced
1.06	3.14
Goals prevented
0.06	1.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Twumasi E. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Greenwood S. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Barkovskiy G. ⚽, Juande (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Lewicki J. ↑,
46', Loncar D. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
69', Lokilo J. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
69', Twumasi E. ↓, Mokwa T. ↑,
74', Molnar R. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
74', Ali H. 🟨,
79', Juwara M. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Grosicki K. (Pen),
90', Felix J. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
90+1', Chrapek M. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
90+1', Grosicki K. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
90+2', Kostorz K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Pogoń Szczecin
50.6%

Draw
26.4%

Piast Gliwice
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.8%

27.4%

Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.03)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	4.4 ↑ (3.26)	1.9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Piast will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 59.8% – 94.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
In recent matches, Pogoń Szczecin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Piast is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Piast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Pogoń Szczecin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Injury)
There will not play in Piast: Dalmau A. (Red Card) Katsantonis A. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.7:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Piast Gliwice?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Piast Gliwice has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice were as follows:

13.04.2025 Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1

26.02.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice 2:0

06.10.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice 1:0

26.06.2024 Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0

20.04.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice 0:2

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

28.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk 3:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 2:0 ✺

22.08.2025 Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Piast Gliwice

27.09.2025 Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza 4:2 ✺

24.09.2025 Korona Kielce 2 - Piast Gliwice 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Piast Gliwice - GKS Tychy 3:0 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	15	9	2	4	26:14	12	29
2	Wisla Plock	14	7	5	2	19:10	9	26
3	Jagiellonia	13	7	3	3	25:17	8	24
4	Radomiak Radom	15	6	4	5	28:24	4	22
5	Cracovia	14	6	4	4	21:17	4	22
6	Zaglebie	14	5	6	3	27:18	9	21
7	Lech Poznan	13	5	6	2	22:20	2	21
8	Korona Kielce	14	5	5	4	16:12	4	20
9	Rakow	13	6	2	5	16:17	-1	20
10	Legia	13	4	5	4	15:13	2	17
11	Widzew Lodz	15	5	2	8	22:23	-1	17
12	Pogon Szczecin	14	5	2	7	20:25	-5	17
13	GKS Katowice	15	5	2	8	21:27	-6	17
14	Motor Lublin	14	3	7	4	19:24	-5	16
15	Arka Gdynia	14	4	3	7	10:25	-15	15
16	Lechia Gdansk	15	5	3	7	25:32	-7	13
17	Piast Gliwice	13	2	5	6	13:16	-3	11
18	Termalica B-B	14	2	4	8	17:28	-11	10

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1