Result
2:1
13/04/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 28
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (182/258) | 86% (448/521) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (182/258) | 86% (448/521) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 59% (29/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (50/85) | 71% (106/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Kostadinov T. ⚽, Chrapek M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 0, Chrapek M. ⚽,
- 52', Wedrychowski M. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
- 52', Gamboa J. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
- 66', Gale T. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
- 66', Felix J. ↓, Szczepanski M. ↑,
- 69', Ulvestad F. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 69', Leo Borges ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
- 77', Grosicki K. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
- 78', Chrapek M. ↓, Tomasiewicz G. ↑,
- 85', Rosolek M. ↓, Karbowy F. ↑,
- 90', Mokwa T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Dziczek P. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Piast Gliwice
31.6% | Draw
30% | Pogoń Szczecin
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.6) |
3.12
(3.12) |
2.45 ↓
(2.76) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Piast won 2.
- Piast is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Pogoń Szczecin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Pogoń Szczecin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Piast: Felix J.
(Inactive)
Katsantonis A.
(Injury)
Miguelito
(Yellow Cards)
Pyrka A.
(Coach's decision)
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Malec M.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Piast won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:13 (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Piast won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Piast Gliwice has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Piast Gliwice?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
26.02.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Piast Gliwice
2:0
06.10.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Piast Gliwice
1:0
26.06.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
20.04.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Piast Gliwice
0:2
20.10.2023
Piast Gliwice
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:0
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
