Result
2:3
20/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, Zani K. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Greca B. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 2, Kazeem S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Tuni V. 🟥,
- 57', Greca B. 🟥,
- 76', 1 - 3, Kazeem S. ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 3, Merkuri M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Luftëtari Gjirokastër
12% | Draw
24.8% | Pogradeci
63.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luftëtari Gjirokastër has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luftëtari Gjirokastër's form might have worsened.Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luftëtari Gjirokastër than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luftëtari Gjirokastër, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Pogradeci Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.6 ↑
(4.84) |
3.67 ↑
(3.54) |
1.44 ↓
(1.63) |
10.1%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).
- Luftëtari is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pogradeci is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Pogradeci is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Luftëtari won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Luftëtari Gjirokastër won against Pogradeci?
Luftëtari Gjirokastër has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogradeci won against Luftëtari Gjirokastër?
Pogradeci has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Pogradeci were as follows:
03.10.2025
Pogradeci
-
Luftëtari Gjirokastër
2:2
Latest results of Luftëtari Gjirokastër
Latest results of Pogradeci
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 50:23 | 27 | 67 |
| 2 | Laci | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 52:23 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 38 |
| 5 | Kastrioti | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 6 | Burreli | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 33 |
| 7 | Korabi Peshkopi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Besa Kavaje | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Apolonia Fier | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:34 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24:41 | -17 | 24 |
| 11 | AF Luftetari | 28 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 26:38 | -12 | 22 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
