Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
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World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Nasr S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 1, Kazeem S. ⚽,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Danladi S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Skënderbeu Korçë 69.9% | Draw 21.2% | Pogradeci 8.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Skënderbeu Korçë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Skënderbeu Korçë's performance.Pogradeci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogradeci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Skënderbeu Korçë that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogradeci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Skënderbeu Korçë - Pogradeci Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.29 ↓ (1.59) |
4.26 ↑ (3.5) |
10.19 ↑ (5.34) |
10.8% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Skënderbeu Korçë - Pogradeci?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogradeci (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).
- Skënderbeu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pogradeci's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pogradeci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Skënderbeu is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Skënderbeu will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Skënderbeu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Skënderbeu Korçë won against Pogradeci?
Skënderbeu Korçë has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogradeci won against Skënderbeu Korçë?
Pogradeci has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Skënderbeu Korçë - Pogradeci were as follows:
19.09.2025
Pogradeci
-
Skënderbeu Korçë
0:1
Latest results of Skënderbeu Korçë
Latest results of Pogradeci
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu ✔ | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 77 |
| 2 | Laci ✔ | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 76 |
| 3 | Pogradeci ✔ | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje ✔ | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje ✔ | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | -2 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti ✔ | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari ✔ | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi ✔ | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | -19 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier ✔ | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja ✔ | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | -21 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Skenderbeu is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Laci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Pogradeci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Iliria Fushe-Kruje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Besa Kavaje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Kastrioti is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
AF Luftetari is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Kukesi is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Apolonia Fier is Relegated to
Lushnja is Relegated to