Result
4:0
03/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
Chances of winning
Police
60.4% | Draw
26.9% | Gorilla
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Gorilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Police - Gorilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.47) |
3.37 ↓
(3.4) |
7.14 ↑
(6.34) |
10.4%
(13.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 3.
- Police is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Gorilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Police is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Police will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Police won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Police won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Gorilla?
Police has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorilla won against Police?
Gorilla has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Gorilla were as follows:
20.10.2024
Police
-
Gorilla
0:0
03.11.2023
Police
-
Gorilla
1:0
20.01.2023
Gorilla
-
Police
2:3
26.11.2022
Police
-
Gorilla
0:1
Latest results of Gorilla
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 45:16 | 29 | 42 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gicumbi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
