Result
4:0
03/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
Chances of winning
Police
60.4% | Draw
26.9% | Gorilla
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Gorilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Police - Gorilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.47) |
3.37 ↓
(3.4) |
7.14 ↑
(6.34) |
10.4%
(13.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 3.
- Police is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Gorilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Police is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Police will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Police won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Police won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Gorilla?
Police has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorilla won against Police?
Gorilla has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Gorilla were as follows:
20.10.2024
Police
-
Gorilla
0:0
03.11.2023
Police
-
Gorilla
1:0
20.01.2023
Gorilla
-
Police
2:3
26.11.2022
Police
-
Gorilla
0:1
Latest results of Gorilla
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 57:19 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | APR | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 36:19 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Marines | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Musanze | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 26 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 14:32 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 21 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:36 | -19 | 21 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
