Result
0:1
19/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Police
52.2% | Draw
28.9% | Bugesera
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Police have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Police - Bugesera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.72) |
3.12 ↓
(3.13) |
4.78 ↑
(4.72) |
10.8%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.
- Police has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bugesera is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Bugesera has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Police is a strong favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Police won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Police won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Bugesera?
Police has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Police?
Bugesera has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Bugesera were as follows:
26.12.2025
Bugesera
-
Police
1:0
15.03.2025
Bugesera
-
Police
0:1
13.12.2024
Police
-
Bugesera
2:2
05.12.2023
Bugesera
-
Police
4:2
11.03.2023
Bugesera
-
Police
2:1
Latest results of Bugesera
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 64 |
| 2 | APR | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 41:22 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Police | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 30:19 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 41 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Marines | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Musanze | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21:35 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16:34 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:40 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
