Result
0:1
08/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
Police
52.8% | Draw
29.3% | Kigali
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Police - Kigali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.55) |
3.09 ↓
(3.44) |
5.05 ↓
(5.85) |
10.5%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Police has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Police is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Police won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Police won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Kigali?
Police has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kigali won against Police?
Kigali has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Kigali were as follows:
07.11.2025
Kigali
-
Police
0:0
22.05.2025
Police
-
Kigali
1:1
05.03.2025
Kigali
-
Police
2:2
26.02.2025
Police
-
Kigali
2:1
10.11.2024
Kigali
-
Police
1:0
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 50:16 | 34 | 45 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
