Ponferradina vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Copa del Rey Ponferradina - Castellón
Result
2:1 penalties
05/12/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1116
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
511
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Free Kicks
1521
Offsides
61
Fouls
1611
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
3228

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Bosilj D. , Seuntjens M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Doue M. 🟨,
  • 56', Calavera J. 🟨,
  • 57', Lozano M. 🟨,
  • 64', Lancho J. , Fernandez B. ,
  • 64', Valle B. , Abelenda B. ,
  • 71', Albert J. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 71', Suner P. M. , Suero I. ,
  • 71', Jorrin M. , Carrique T. ,
  • 72', Cipenga B. , Ruiz S. ,
  • 77', Gomez E. , Bustos A. ,
  • 77', Cabanzon Y. , Costa A. ,
  • 79', Calavera J. , Jimenez A. ,
  • 85', Villahermosa D. , van den Belt T. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Costa A. , Carrique T. (A),
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Novoa G. , Esquerdo V. ,
  • 105', Vertrouwd J. 🟨,
  • 106', Pastor G. , Moyita S. ,
  • 115', Esquerdo V. 🟨,
  • 116', Bosilj D. 🟥,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Suero I. (Pen),
  • 1, Esquerdo V. (Pen),
  • 2, Sanchez R. (Pen),
  • 2, Bustos A. (Pen),
  • 3, Jimenez A. (Pen),
  • 3, Lopez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Moyita S. (Pen),
  • 4, Costa A. (Pen),
  • 5, van den Belt T. (Pen),
  • 5, Abelenda B. (Pen),
  • 6, Seuntjens M. (Pen),
  • 6, Cortes J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
37.1%
Draw
29.3%
Castellón
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 30.2% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 30% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponferradina's performance.
  • Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponferradina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ponferradina - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (3.35)
    3.2
    (3.05)
    2.77
    (2.19)
    7.1%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Castellón will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Ponferradina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Castellón will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Castellón
    01.12.2024 Castellón - Málaga 2:0
    27.11.2024 Castellón - Ferrol 0:0
    24.11.2024 Huesca - Castellón 1:1
    16.11.2024 Castellón - Mirandés 1:3
    10.11.2024 Córdoba - Castellón 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

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