Result
3:0
17/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Valle B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 39', 2 - 0, Cortes J. ⚽,
- 45+3', Undabarrena E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pena A. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
- 58', Frimpong E. 🟥,
- 59', Garcia S. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
- 59', Dacosta R. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
- 63', 🟨,
- 64', Cortes J. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 64', Ferrer P. ↓, Moran E. ↑,
- 70', Ramon A. 🟨,
- 77', 🟨,
- 83', Valle B. ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
- 83', Vazquez B. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
- 90+1', Escobar A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
37.2% | Draw
31.2% | Ferrol
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)The ML Model estimate for Ponferradina aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Ponferradina - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.55) |
2.94 ↓
(2.95) |
2.89
(2.89) |
9.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Ferrol?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Ferrol (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 2.
- Ponferradina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferrol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Ferrol?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Ponferradina?
Ferrol has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Ferrol were as follows:
14.09.2025
Ferrol
-
Ponferradina
2:1
16.08.2025
Ferrol
-
Ponferradina
1:1
26.07.2023
Ponferradina
-
Ferrol
0:2
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 50:17 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Zamora | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Lugo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 41:49 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
