Result
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2 |
Chances of winning
Ferrol
46.1% | Draw
28% | Ponferradina
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrol's performance.Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponferradina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrol that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ferrol - Ponferradina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.39) |
3.27 ↑
(3.22) |
3.52 ↑
(2.71) |
8.5%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ferrol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ferrol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferrol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Ponferradina?
Ferrol has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Ferrol?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Ponferradina were as follows:
16.08.2025
Ferrol
-
Ponferradina
1:1
26.07.2023
Ponferradina
-
Ferrol
0:2
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Osasuna B | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Arenas Getxo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Barakaldo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Ponferradina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Racing Club Ferrol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Madrid B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Arenteiro | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Guadalajara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Merida AD | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Cacereno | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Ath Bilbao B | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Zamora | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Ourense CF | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Lugo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Real Aviles | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
