Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Pena A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽,
- 55', 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Alvaro J. ⚽,
- 72', 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Gimenez A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ferrol
44.8% | Draw
29.2% | Ponferradina
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrol's performance.Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponferradina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrol that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ferrol - Ponferradina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.39) |
3.15 ↓
(3.22) |
3.52 ↑
(2.71) |
8.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ferrol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ferrol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferrol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Ponferradina?
Ferrol has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Ferrol?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Ponferradina were as follows:
16.08.2025
Ferrol
-
Ponferradina
1:1
26.07.2023
Ponferradina
-
Ferrol
0:2
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Racing Club Ferrol | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Celta Vigo B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Real Aviles | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Guadalajara | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Real Madrid B | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Lugo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Pontevedra | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Cacereno | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Osasuna B | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Merida AD | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Talavera | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Zamora | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Arenteiro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Unionistas | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Ath Bilbao B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Arenas Getxo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 20 | Ourense CF | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
