Ferrol vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ferrol - Ponferradina
Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
97
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Pena A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Lopez A. ,
  • 55', 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Alvaro J. ,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Gimenez A. ,

Chances of winning


Ferrol
44.8%
Draw
29.2%
Ponferradina
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 28.3% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 28.4% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrol's performance.
  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponferradina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrol that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ferrol - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.39)
    3.15
    (3.22)
    3.52
    (2.71)
    8.9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ferrol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ferrol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferrol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Ponferradina were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 1:1
    26.07.2023 Ponferradina - Ferrol 0:2
    Latest results of Ferrol
    23.08.2025 Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B 0:3
    16.08.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 1:1
    13.08.2025 Bergantiños - Ferrol 0:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    06.09.2025 Ponferradina - Pontevedra 0:1
    16.08.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 1:1
    13.08.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 3:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife550013:11215
    2Celta Vigo B53118:4410
    3Guadalajara53116:3310
    4Racing Club Ferrol53116:4210
    5Zamora52305:149
    6CF Talavera52216:518
    7Ath Bilbao B52215:418
    8Osasuna B52213:308
    9Arenteiro52125:417
    10Real Aviles52127:8-17
    11Arenas Getxo52127:8-17
    12Pontevedra52124:5-17
    13Barakaldo51315:506
    14Cacereno51316:7-16
    15Ponferradina51135:6-14
    16Lugo51133:5-24
    17Unionistas51044:8-43
    18Real Madrid B51043:7-43
    19Merida AD51044:12-83
    20Ourense CF50233:8-52

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