Result
3:0
17/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Valle B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 39', 2 - 0, Cortes J. ⚽,
- 45+3', Undabarrena E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pena A. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
- 58', Frimpong E. 🟥,
- 59', Garcia S. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
- 59', Dacosta R. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
- 63', 🟨,
- 64', Cortes J. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 64', Ferrer P. ↓, Moran E. ↑,
- 70', Ramon A. 🟨,
- 77', 🟨,
- 83', Valle B. ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
- 83', Vazquez B. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
- 90+1', Escobar A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
37.2% | Draw
31.2% | Ferrol
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)The ML Model estimate for Ponferradina aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Ponferradina - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.55) |
2.94 ↓
(2.95) |
2.89
(2.89) |
9.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Ferrol?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Ferrol (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 2.
- Ponferradina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferrol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Ferrol?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Ponferradina?
Ferrol has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Ferrol were as follows:
14.09.2025
Ferrol
-
Ponferradina
2:1
16.08.2025
Ferrol
-
Ponferradina
1:1
26.07.2023
Ponferradina
-
Ferrol
0:2
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 52:19 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 3 | Real Madrid B | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | Zamora | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 43:37 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 38:24 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Barakaldo | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Ponferradina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 36:28 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | Lugo | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao B | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 33:36 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 36:37 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32:41 | -9 | 35 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 34 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 23:38 | -15 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29:43 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
