Result
2:3
05/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Palacios C. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Valle B. ⚽,
- 38', Aguilar Elizalde E. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
- 45+4', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 2, Angel M. ⚽,
- 56', Keita A. 🟨,
- 56', Cestero Sancho J. 🟨,
- 61', Cortes J. 🟨,
- 66', 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 2, Fernandez X. ⚽,
- 71', Serrano M. ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
- 71', Zuniga L. ↓, Castrelo G. ↑,
- 72', Valle B. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
- 81', Martin R. ↓, Mesonero ↑,
- 83', Palacios C. 🟨,
- 84', Yanez D. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 3, Palacios C. ⚽,
- 89', Cortes J. ↓, Lian ↑,
- 89', San Emeterio F. ↓, Frimpong E. ↑,
- 89', Keita A. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
- 90+3', Andujar D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
46.8% | Draw
28.8% | Real Madrid Castilla
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.73) |
3.29 ↓
(3.3) |
3.8 ↓
(4.4) |
5.1%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Ponferradina (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ponferradina is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Ponferradina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Ponferradina?
Real Madrid Castilla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
