Real Madrid Castilla vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats


Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
6	4
Shots on target
1	3
Corner kicks
7	1
Yellow cards
4	4
Total shots
6	4
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
5	1
Corner kicks
7	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Aguado D. 🟨,
9', Valle B. 🟨,
30', Koke 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Keita A. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
62', Koke ↓, Jorrin M. ↑,
65', Aguado D. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
65', Gines A. ↓, Serrano M. ↑,
71', Kysil V. ↓, Slavy ↑,
71', Cortes J. ↓, Esquerdo V. ↑,
77', Jimenez D. ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,
77', Yanez D. ↓, Fortea J. ↑,
81', Mesonero D. 🟨,
84', Cestero Sancho J. 🟨,
90', Vazquez B. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Frimpong E. ⚽,
90+9', Lopez A. 🟨,
90+9', Calderon C. 🟨,
90+11', Fortea J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Real Madrid Castilla
46%

Draw
29.3%

Ponferradina
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Ponferradina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.08)	3.16 ↓ (3.31)	3.69 ↑ (3.41)	8.3% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 1.
Real Madrid Castilla has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ponferradina is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Real Madrid Castilla could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Ponferradina?

Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Real Madrid Castilla?

Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Ponferradina were as follows:

05.10.2025 Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla 2:3

Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla

21.02.2026 Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla 1:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B 2:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Pontevedra - Real Madrid Castilla 0:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Osasuna B 1:1 ✺

25.01.2026 Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Ponferradina

20.02.2026 Ponferradina - Talavera de la Reina 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Arenas Club de Getxo - Ponferradina 0:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B 0:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:2 ✺

25.01.2026 CD Guadalajara - Ponferradina 0:1 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	31	19	8	4	51:18	33	65
2	Celta Vigo B	31	15	9	7	47:42	5	54
3	Ponferradina	31	13	8	10	35:25	10	47
4	Barakaldo	31	12	11	8	40:32	8	47
5	Real Madrid B	31	13	7	11	46:41	5	46
6	Zamora	31	12	10	9	42:37	5	46
7	Pontevedra	31	11	13	7	35:23	12	46
8	Lugo	31	11	12	8	30:30	0	45
9	Unionistas	31	12	8	11	44:42	2	44
10	Ath Bilbao B	31	12	8	11	33:35	-2	44
11	AD Merida	31	12	8	11	41:44	-3	44
12	Arenas Getxo	31	13	5	13	38:42	-4	44
13	Racing Club Ferrol	31	12	6	13	35:36	-1	42
14	Real Aviles	31	10	7	14	45:53	-8	37
15	CF Talavera	31	9	8	14	32:40	-8	35
16	Guadalajara	31	9	8	14	35:46	-11	35
17	Ourense CF	31	8	10	13	32:35	-3	34
18	Cacereno	31	6	13	12	29:41	-12	31
19	Osasuna B	31	7	9	15	23:37	-14	30
20	Arenteiro	31	6	8	17	28:42	-14	26

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