Result
1:1
21/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Uzkudun A. ↓, Santamaria A. ↑,
- 27', 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Zuniga L. ⚽,
- 43', Bautista K. 🟨,
- 45+3', Isi Ros 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Zuniga L. 🟥,
- 61', Palacios C. ↓, Serrano M. ↑,
- 62', Rubio R. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
- 62', Gete A. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
- 71', Bari Q. 🟨,
- 72', Rivera C. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Bari Q. ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+12', Isi Ros 🟨,
- 90+12', Cayarga B. 🟨,
- 90+15', Campabadal E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Avilés
35.9% | Draw
27.8% | Real Madrid Castilla
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.46) |
3.29 ↓
(3.49) |
2.53 ↓
(2.6) |
8.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- Recent form of Real Avilés has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Real Madrid Castilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Real Avilés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Real Avilés?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
25.10.2025
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Real Avilés
2:0
Latest results of Real Avilés
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56:43 | 13 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49:56 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 24:39 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
