AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 12
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.72
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
511
Passes
62% (152/245)68% (206/303)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.47
Total shots
616
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
511
Touches in opposition box
1531
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
62% (152/245)68% (206/303)
Long passes
23% (15/66)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
53% (49/92)49% (51/104)
Crosses
21% (5/24)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.02
Throw-ins
2930
Fouls
1013
Tackles
50% (8/16)57% (4/7)
Duels won
5771
Clearances
5338
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.471.95
Goals prevented
0.470.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Croasdale R. 🟨,
  • 67', Croasdale R. , Stockley J. ,
  • 67', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Hackford A. ,
  • 69', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Hackford A. ,
  • 76', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
  • 77', Browne M. , Maycock C. ,
  • 80', Curtis R. , Paton R. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Cole D. ,
  • 90', Hall G. , Faal M. ,
  • 90+1', Ogundere I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
32.4%
Draw
32%
Port Vale
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.9% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 27.9% 32.2%

AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.01
(2.48)
2.93
(3.24)
2.66
(2.81)
4.9%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
    • Wimbledon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Port Vale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Bugiel O. (Injury) Hackford A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Kyle John (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale were as follows:
    26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2
    26.10.2024 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 3:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Port Vale
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    20.09.2025 Port Vale - Mansfield Town 2:1
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff22152540:231747
    2Lincoln23135534:231144
    3Bradford City22127332:211143
    4Stockport County22115633:29438
    5Huddersfield23114842:311137
    6Bolton22107530:21937
    7Stevenage21106525:17836
    8Luton23105833:28535
    9Wycombe2378829:27229
    10Reading2278729:28129
    11Mansfield2285928:28029
    12Wigan2278725:25029
    13Blackpool23851029:30-129
    14Peterborough22921126:28-229
    15Barnsley2084832:32028
    16Leyton Orient23841134:38-428
    17AFC Wimbledon22841024:30-628
    18Burton2276923:29-627
    19Northampton22831122:28-627
    20Exeter22821222:21126
    21Plymouth23821328:38-1026
    22Rotherham23661122:33-1124
    23Doncaster23641323:40-1722
    24Port Vale22361313:30-1715

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two