Result
0:2
26/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 45
- Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (304/406) | 68% (215/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (304/406) | 68% (215/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (15/54) | 32% (24/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (67/122) | 48% (45/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+3', Bugiel O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽, Headley J. (A),
- 66', Bugiel O. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
- 66', Hutchinson S. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
- 67', Lewis J. 🟨,
- 67', 0 - 2, Headley J. ⚽, Byers G. (A),
- 75', Harbottle R. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
- 82', Walters R. ↓, Harper R. ↑,
- 84', Stevens M. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
- 85', Maycock C. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
- 87', Headley J. ↓, Shorrock J. ↑,
- 90+1', Tolaj L. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
38.3% | Draw
30.6% | Port Vale
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.12) |
3.08 ↓
(3.32) |
3.04 ↓
(3.34) |
6.1%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- Recent matches Wimbledon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Port Vale is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Wimbledon will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Browne M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Port Vale: Heneghan B.
(Inactive)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
Sang T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Garrity B.
(Injury)
Hart S.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Port Vale?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against AFC Wimbledon?
Port Vale has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale were as follows:
26.10.2024
Port Vale
-
AFC Wimbledon
3:2
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Port Vale
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Fleetwood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Swindon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Salford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Colchester | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Harrogate | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Gillingham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambridge Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Newport | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Barrow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Oldham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Notts Co | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 1 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 22 | Barnet | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 23 | Crawley | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
