AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 12
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.72
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
511
Passes
62% (152/245)68% (206/303)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.47
Total shots
616
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
511
Touches in opposition box
1531
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
62% (152/245)68% (206/303)
Long passes
23% (15/66)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
53% (49/92)49% (51/104)
Crosses
21% (5/24)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.02
Throw-ins
2930
Fouls
1013
Tackles
50% (8/16)57% (4/7)
Duels won
5771
Clearances
5338
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.471.95
Goals prevented
0.470.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Croasdale R. 🟨,
  • 67', Croasdale R. , Stockley J. ,
  • 67', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Hackford A. ,
  • 69', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Hackford A. ,
  • 76', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
  • 77', Browne M. , Maycock C. ,
  • 80', Curtis R. , Paton R. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Cole D. ,
  • 90', Hall G. , Faal M. ,
  • 90+1', Ogundere I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
32.4%
Draw
32%
Port Vale
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.9% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 27.9% 32.2%

AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.01
(2.48)
2.93
(3.24)
2.66
(2.81)
4.9%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
    • Wimbledon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Port Vale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Bugiel O. (Injury) Hackford A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Kyle John (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale were as follows:
    26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2
    26.10.2024 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 3:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Port Vale
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    20.09.2025 Port Vale - Mansfield Town 2:1
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff17112431:171435
    2Bradford City1897226:18834
    3Stevenage1694319:11831
    4Lincoln1894523:18531
    5Stockport County1785423:21229
    6Bolton1777324:16828
    7Luton1883721:22-127
    8Huddersfield1882830:28226
    9AFC Wimbledon1782723:25-226
    10Barnsley1574426:19725
    11Wigan1867521:20125
    12Wycombe1866626:20624
    13Leyton Orient1873829:29024
    14Rotherham1866620:20024
    15Northampton1772816:17-123
    16Mansfield1764723:23022
    17Reading1757520:20022
    18Doncaster1864817:24-722
    19Burton1864816:24-822
    20Exeter17521016:18-217
    21Peterborough17511119:25-616
    22Blackpool18441017:28-1116
    23Plymouth18511219:32-1316
    24Port Vale18351011:21-1014

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two