Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 12
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.94 | 1.72 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
62% (152/245) | 68% (206/303) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.94 | 1.72 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.95 | 1.47 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 10 |
Passes |
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62% (152/245) | 68% (206/303) |
Long passes |
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23% (15/66) | 37% (19/51) |
Passes in final third |
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53% (49/92) | 49% (51/104) |
Crosses |
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21% (5/24) | 21% (6/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.18 | 1.02 |
Throw-ins |
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29 | 30 |
Fouls |
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10 | 13 |
Tackles |
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50% (8/16) | 57% (4/7) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 71 |
Clearances |
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53 | 38 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.47 | 1.95 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.47 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Croasdale R. 🟨,
- 67', Croasdale R. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
- 67', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 69', Reeves J. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 0, Hackford A. ⚽,
- 76', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
- 77', Browne M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
- 80', Curtis R. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Cole D. ⚽,
- 90', Hall G. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
- 90+1', Ogundere I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon 32.4% | Draw 32% | Port Vale 35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↑ (2.48) |
2.93 ↓ (3.24) |
2.66 ↓ (2.81) |
4.9% (6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
- Wimbledon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Port Vale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M.
(Neck Injury)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Bugiel O.
(Injury)
Hackford A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Kyle John
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Port Vale?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against AFC Wimbledon?
Port Vale has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale were as follows:
26.04.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Port Vale
0:2
26.10.2024
Port Vale
-
AFC Wimbledon
3:2
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Port Vale
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two