Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 29
Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.47	0.93
Ball possession
53%	47%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
2	1
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
10	1
Passes
65% (238/367)	71% (232/327)
Expected goals (xG)
0.47	0.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.06	0.70
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
2	5
Shots inside the box
6	8
Shots outside the box
3	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
10	1
Touches in opposition box
22	21
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	4
Free kicks
15	12
Passes
65% (238/367)	71% (232/327)
Long passes
32% (26/81)	30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
50% (74/149)	67% (62/92)
Crosses
13% (3/23)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	0.69
Throw ins
22	26
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
58% (7/12)	47% (9/19)
Duels won
68	66
Clearances
17	41
Interceptions
9	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.70	0.06
Goals prevented
-0.30	0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
42.9%

Draw
30.5%

AFC Wimbledon
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)	6.7% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 10 - 50%). Wimbledon (votes: 5 - 25%). Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Wimbledon (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Port Vale (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Wimbledon (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Port Vale could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Inactive)
There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against AFC Wimbledon?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Port Vale?

AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:

11.10.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 1:1

26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2

26.10.2024 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 3:2

Latest results of Port Vale

31.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Port Vale - Exeter City 1:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Mansfield Town - Port Vale 3:0 ✺

13.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

09.01.2026 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

31.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 0:1 ✺

12.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - West Ham United U21 4:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon 2:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship