AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London).

League Two - Round 45
Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.15	0.98
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
4	5
Shots on target
1	2
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
75% (304/406)	68% (215/316)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.15	0.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.47	1.14
Total shots
4	5
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
3	5
Shots outside the Box
1	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
15	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
12	16
Passes
75% (304/406)	68% (215/316)
Long passes
28% (15/54)	32% (24/75)
Passes in final third
55% (67/122)	48% (45/93)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.42
Throw-ins
23	20
Fouls
16	12
Tackles
53% (8/15)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
62	63
Clearances
21	41
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
1.14	0.47
Goals prevented
-0.86	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Bugiel O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽, Headley J. (A),
66', Bugiel O. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
66', Hutchinson S. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
67', Lewis J. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Headley J. ⚽, Byers G. (A),
75', Harbottle R. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
82', Walters R. ↓, Harper R. ↑,
84', Stevens M. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
85', Maycock C. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
87', Headley J. ↓, Shorrock J. ↑,
90+1', Tolaj L. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

AFC Wimbledon
38.3%

Draw
30.6%

Port Vale
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

29.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.12)	3.08 ↓ (3.32)	3.04 ↓ (3.34)	6.1% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 50.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Recent matches Wimbledon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Port Vale is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Wimbledon will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Wimbledon: Browne M. (Injury)
There will not play in Port Vale: Heneghan B. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive) Sang T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Injury) Hart S. (Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Port Vale?

AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against AFC Wimbledon?

Port Vale has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale were as follows:

26.10.2024 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 3:2

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

21.04.2025 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Chesterfield 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Port Vale

21.04.2025 Port Vale - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Carlisle United - Port Vale 3:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Port Vale - Bromley 5:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Walsall - Port Vale 2:3 ✺

01.04.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City 2:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League