AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale
Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 12
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.72
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
511
Passes
62% (152/245)68% (206/303)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.47
Total shots
616
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
511
Touches in opposition box
1531
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
62% (152/245)68% (206/303)
Long passes
23% (15/66)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
53% (49/92)49% (51/104)
Crosses
21% (5/24)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.02
Throw-ins
2930
Fouls
1013
Tackles
50% (8/16)57% (4/7)
Duels won
5771
Clearances
5338
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.471.95
Goals prevented
0.470.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Croasdale R. 🟨,
  • 67', Croasdale R. , Stockley J. ,
  • 67', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Hackford A. ,
  • 69', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Hackford A. ,
  • 76', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
  • 77', Browne M. , Maycock C. ,
  • 80', Curtis R. , Paton R. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Cole D. ,
  • 90', Hall G. , Faal M. ,
  • 90+1', Ogundere I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
32.4%
Draw
32%
Port Vale
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.9% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 27.9% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.48)
    2.93
    (3.24)
    2.66
    (2.81)
    4.9%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
    • Wimbledon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Port Vale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Bugiel O. (Injury) Hackford A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Kyle John (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale were as follows:
    26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2
    26.10.2024 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 3:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Port Vale
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    20.09.2025 Port Vale - Mansfield Town 2:1
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two