Result
0:2
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 46
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (343/426) | 69% (207/301) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (343/426) | 69% (207/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (28/65) | 43% (29/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/91) | 49% (57/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, House B. ⚽, Moylan J. (A),
- 22', McGrandles C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 2, Street R. ⚽,
- 57', Ward G. ↓, Byers G. ↑,
- 58', Gordon L. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
- 65', Darikwa T. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 66', House B. ↓, One R. ↑,
- 66', Hernandez O. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
- 66', Walters R. ↓, Croasdale R. ↑,
- 66', McGrandles C. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
- 73', Conteh K. 🟨,
- 74', Moylan J. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 75', Street R. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
- 83', Hall G. ↓, Lake E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Port Vale
21.3% | Draw
23.1% | Lincoln City
55.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Vale that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lincoln City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Port Vale - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.45 ↓
(5.7) |
3.98 ↑
(3.88) |
1.69 ↑
(1.53) |
6.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Lincoln City?
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
- Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
- Port Vale has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lincoln is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Port Vale has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lincoln is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Gray A.
(Inactive)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
Ojo F.
(Inactive)
Stockley J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Draper F.
(Injury)
Honohan J.
(Health problems)
Reach A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Hall C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Hamer T.
(Inactive)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
Thorn O.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Lincoln City?
Port Vale has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Port Vale?
Lincoln City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Lincoln City were as follows:
29.11.2025
Lincoln City
-
Port Vale
1:0
24.02.2024
Port Vale
-
Lincoln City
0:2
11.11.2023
Lincoln City
-
Port Vale
1:1
15.04.2023
Lincoln City
-
Port Vale
3:2
29.10.2022
Port Vale
-
Lincoln City
1:0
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
