Peterborough United vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
16/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 36

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.950.70
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
34
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
91
Passes
82% (430/522)67% (153/230)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.950.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.74
Total shots
167
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
70
Shots inside the box
93
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1113
Passes
82% (430/522)67% (153/230)
Long passes
36% (19/53)30% (20/67)
Passes in final third
67% (132/196)56% (41/73)
Crosses
16% (6/38)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.18
Throw ins
2321
Fouls
1311
Tackles
83% (10/12)48% (12/25)
Duels won
5664
Clearances
1348
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.741.00
Goals prevented
-1.260.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Croasdale R. , Hernandez O. (A),
  • 16', 0 - 2, Archer E. ,
  • 31', 1 - 2, Dornelly J. , Garbett M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Hernandez O. , Gordon L. ,
  • 55', Shofowoke B. , Hayes C. ,
  • 59', 1 - 3, Archer E. ,
  • 64', Garbett M. , Kamara D. ,
  • 64', Kioso P. , Aderoju O. ,
  • 69', Kamara D. 🟨,
  • 70', Magloire T. 🟨,
  • 71', Headley J. , Humphreys C. ,
  • 83', Ward G. , Waine B. ,
  • 83', Sherif M. , Brown D. ,
  • 84', Khela B. , Sykut P. ,

Chances of winning


Peterborough United
57.9%
Draw
23.8%
Port Vale
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 27.1% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 25.8% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.
  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Vale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Peterborough United - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (2.05)
    3.93
    (3.43)
    5.23
    (3.38)
    5.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Port Vale will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 63.4%93.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.25 - Port Vale (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Port Vale (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Port Vale (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Port Vale (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Port Vale (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Port Vale (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Port Vale (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Peterborough United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Port Vale (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to FA Cup.
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 5.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
    • Peterborough might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Garbett M. (Inactive) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lees T. (Inactive) Mendy J. (Inactive) Mills H. (Inactive) Woods B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury) Croasdale R. (Inactive) Garrity B. (Inactive) Heneghan B. (Injury) Magloire T. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 1.8:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Port Vale were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Port Vale - Peterborough United 0:1
    10.04.2024 Peterborough United - Port Vale 3:0
    24.10.2023 Port Vale - Peterborough United 0:1
    16.01.2023 Port Vale - Peterborough United 0:2
    24.09.2022 Peterborough United - Port Vale 3:0
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    Latest results of Port Vale
    14.04.2026 Port Vale - Barnsley 0:0
    04.04.2026 Chelsea - Port Vale 7:0
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two