Port Vale vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 42
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.74	0.67
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
7	10
Shots on target
2	5
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
4	6
Passes
55% (165/299)	66% (224/340)
Yellow cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.74	0.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.60	0.42
Total shots
7	10
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked shots
2	2
Shots inside the box
3	9
Shots outside the box
4	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
16	24
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
12	15
Passes
55% (165/299)	66% (224/340)
Long passes
23% (20/86)	31% (22/72)
Passes in final third
44% (41/94)	55% (67/121)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	0.74
Throw ins
23	35
Fouls
15	12
Tackles
45% (9/20)	46% (6/13)
Duels won
66	49
Clearances
34	27
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
1	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	1
xGOT faced
0.42	0.60
Goals prevented
0.42	-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Croasdale R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Croasdale R. 🟨,
61', Sherif M. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
61', Croasdale R. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
61', Archer E. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
63', Martha A. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
72', Rafferty J. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
77', Watmore D. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
87', Gordon L. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
88', Hall G. ↓, Campbell E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Port Vale
36.7%

Draw
28.9%

Rotherham United
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Port Vale - Rotherham United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.38)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	2.73 ↓ (2.84)	6.9% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Rotherham United?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Rotherham will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 28.1% – 78.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Rotherham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Headley J. (Injury)
There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H. (Injury) Gore D. (Red Card) Hall D. (Hamstring Injury) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kaleta M. (Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Powell J. (Injury) Spence K. (Knee Injury) Yearwood D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury) Heneghan B. (Injury)
There are questionable in Rotherham: Adegboyega E. (Inactive) Dawson C. (Inactive) McWilliams S. (Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Rotherham United?

Port Vale has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Port Vale?

Rotherham United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Rotherham United were as follows:

02.08.2025 Rotherham United - Port Vale 2:1

Latest results of Port Vale

04.04.2026 Chelsea - Port Vale 7:0 ✺

28.03.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - Port Vale 4:0 ✺

24.03.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale 1:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers 1:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Blackpool - Port Vale 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Rotherham United

03.04.2026 Rotherham United - Stevenage Borough 0:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Lincoln City - Rotherham United 3:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Peterborough United - Rotherham United 5:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers 2:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Huddersfield Town - Rotherham United 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship