Port Vale vs Sunderland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
chinaChinaMigu
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Sports Prime
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaSKY NET Sports X
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.541.72
Ball possession
31%69%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
16
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
59
Passes
58% (121/207)80% (362/452)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.541.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.081.03
Total shots
917
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
410
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
614
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
830
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1012
Passes
58% (121/207)80% (362/452)
Long passes
26% (17/66)42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
32% (18/57)67% (90/135)
Crosses
33% (3/9)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.161.57
Throw ins
1124
Fouls
1210
Tackles
82% (14/17)47% (7/15)
Duels won
5362
Clearances
4921
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
1.030.08
Goals prevented
1.03-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Waine B. , Brown D. (A),
  • 30', Brown D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Humphreys C. , Magloire T. ,
  • 54', Waine B. 🟨,
  • 57', Archer E. , Hall G. ,
  • 57', Brown D. , Gray A. ,
  • 61', Ellborg M. 🟨,
  • 63', Brady J. 🟨,
  • 68', Talbi C. , Isidor W. ,
  • 81', Gordon L. , Campbell E. ,
  • 83', Rigg C. , Xhaka G. ,
  • 88', Waine B. , Ward G. ,

Chances of winning


Port Vale
20.8%
Draw
31.2%
Sunderland
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 22% 65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13% 20.8% 62.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.
  • Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Vale that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Port Vale - Sunderland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.05
    (7.53)
    4.12
    (4.2)
    2.89
    (1.41)
    -24.6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Sunderland?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 73.9%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sunderland will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Sunderland is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury) Garrity B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Injury) Brobbey B. (Groin Injury) Cirkin D. (Injury) Hume T. (Yellow Cards) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury) Mundle R. (Muscle Injury) Roefs R. (Muscle Injury) Sadiki N. (Yellow Cards) Traore B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Croasdale R. (Inactive) Heneghan B. (Injury) Magloire T. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    Latest results of Port Vale
    03.03.2026 Port Vale - Bristol City 1:0
    28.02.2026 Port Vale - Luton Town 1:1
    21.02.2026 Port Vale - Reading 1:1
    Latest results of Sunderland
    03.03.2026 Leeds United - Sunderland 0:1
    28.02.2026 Bournemouth - Sunderland 1:1
    22.02.2026 Sunderland - Fulham 1:3
    15.02.2026 Oxford United - Sunderland 0:1
    11.02.2026 Sunderland - Liverpool 0:1
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    4ByeNottingham
    5IpswichBye
    7BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    8ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    9HullBye
    12ByeBlackburn
    13CharltonBye
    16ByeChelsea
    17Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    18BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    19FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    20LutonForest Green4 : 3
    21Bristol CityBye
    24ByeWatford
    25ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    26OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    28ByeOxford Utd
    29EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    50Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    52ByeBirmingham
    53DerbyBye
    56ByeLeeds
    57NorwichBye
    59AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    60EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    61SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97StokeBye
    100ByeCoventry
    101FulhamBye
    104ByeMiddlesbrough
    105StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    106CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    108ByeSouthampton
    109CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    110BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    112ByeLeicester
    113BurnleyBye
    116ByeMillwall
    117Sheffield UtdBye
    119GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    120MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    121PortsmouthBye
    124ByeArsenal
    125PrestonBye
    127WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    128SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    2ByeNottingham
    3IpswichBye
    4BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    5HullBye
    6ByeBlackburn
    7CharltonBye
    8ByeChelsea
    9Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    10FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    11Bristol CityBye
    12ByeWatford
    13MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    14ByeOxford Utd
    15EvertonBye
    16ByeSunderland
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    26ByeBirmingham
    27DerbyBye
    28ByeLeeds
    29NorwichBye
    30GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    31SwanseaBye
    32ByeWest Brom
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49StokeBye
    50ByeCoventry
    51FulhamBye
    52ByeMiddlesbrough
    53ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    54ByeSouthampton
    55CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    56ByeLeicester
    57BurnleyBye
    58ByeMillwall
    59Sheffield UtdBye
    60AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    61PortsmouthBye
    62ByeArsenal
    63PrestonBye
    64WiganBarrow3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    2IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    3HullBlackburn1 : 0
    4CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    5Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    6Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    7MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    8EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    14DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    15NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    16SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25StokeCoventry1 : 0
    26FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    27DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    28CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    29BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    30Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    31PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    32PrestonWigan0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    2HullChelsea0 : 4
    3Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    4Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    8NorwichWest Brom3 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13StokeFulham1 : 2
    14SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    15BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    16ArsenalWigan4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    2Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    3West HamBrentford3 : 2
    4LeedsNorwich3 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    8MansfieldArsenal1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ChelseaPort Vale7 : 0
    2West HamLeeds2 : 3
    3Manchester CityLiverpool4 : 0
    4SouthamptonArsenal2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaLeeds
    2Manchester CitySouthampton