Alverca vs Portimonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Alverca - Portimonense
Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 34
  • Referee: Martins T. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
263
Shots on target
193
Corner Kicks
91
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Total shots
263
Shots on target
193
Shots off target
70
Corner Kicks
91
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1012
Throw-ins
227
Fouls
109
Goalkeeper Saves
217

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Alemao 🟨,
  • 10', Alemao 🟨,
  • 12', Monteiro T. , John K. ,
  • 15', 1 - 0, David Bruno ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Duran C. , Joao Neto ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Varela F. , Carter A. (A),
  • 69', David Bruno , Pereira R. ,
  • 69', Martins D. , Pires M. ,
  • 70', Paulo V. , Kim Yong-Hak ,
  • 71', Diaby M. , Omrani S. ,
  • 71', Djassi D. , Alegria J. ,
  • 78', Joao Bravim , Silva P. ,
  • 78', Carter A. , Joao Marcos ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, John K. ,
  • 90+2', Brenner , Alysson ,

Chances of winning


Alverca
73.9%
Draw
16.3%
Portimonense
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22.1% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 21% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alverca's performance.
  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portimonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alverca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alverca - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.52)
    5.68
    (4.23)
    9.44
    (5.76)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Alverca - Portimonense?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Portimonense will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 73.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alverca will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 15).
    • Alverca is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Portimonense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Alverca is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Alverca will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Portimonense were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Portimonense - Alverca 1:0
    Latest results of Alverca
    11.05.2025 Tondela - Alverca 1:2
    29.04.2025 Chaves - Alverca 0:2
    20.04.2025 Alverca - Oliveirense 4:0
    13.04.2025 Vizela - Alverca 1:1
    Latest results of Portimonense
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela642011:3814
    2Maritimo64116:2413
    3Sporting CP B64027:3412
    4Chaves62409:5410
    5Leiria53116:4210
    6Portimonense631210:11-110
    7Lusitania FC62317:709
    8Feirense62228:538
    9Torreense62228:628
    10SC Farense62135:8-37
    11Leixoes62137:9-27
    12Felgueiras62136:9-37
    13Oliveirense51314:406
    14Academico Viseu61239:10-15
    15Penafiel61235:7-25
    16Benfica B60428:10-24
    17Pacos Ferreira60423:7-44
    18FC Porto B60243:12-92

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3