Alverca vs Portimonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 34
  • Referee: Martins T. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
263
Shots on target
193
Corner Kicks
91
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Total shots
263
Shots on target
193
Shots off target
70
Corner Kicks
91
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1012
Throw-ins
227
Fouls
109
Goalkeeper Saves
217

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Alemao 🟨,
  • 10', Alemao 🟨,
  • 12', Monteiro T. , John K. ,
  • 15', 1 - 0, David Bruno ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Duran C. , Joao Neto ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Varela F. , Carter A. (A),
  • 69', David Bruno , Pereira R. ,
  • 69', Martins D. , Pires M. ,
  • 70', Paulo V. , Kim Yong-Hak ,
  • 71', Diaby M. , Omrani S. ,
  • 71', Djassi D. , Alegria J. ,
  • 78', Joao Bravim , Silva P. ,
  • 78', Carter A. , Joao Marcos ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, John K. ,
  • 90+2', Brenner , Alysson ,

Chances of winning


Alverca
73.9%
Draw
16.3%
Portimonense
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22.1% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 21% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alverca's performance.
  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portimonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alverca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alverca - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.52)
    5.68
    (4.23)
    9.44
    (5.76)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Alverca - Portimonense?
  • Users Predictions: Alverca will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alverca will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 15).
    • Alverca is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Portimonense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Alverca is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Alverca will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Portimonense were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Portimonense - Alverca 1:0
    Latest results of Alverca
    11.05.2025 Tondela - Alverca 1:2
    29.04.2025 Chaves - Alverca 0:2
    20.04.2025 Alverca - Oliveirense 4:0
    13.04.2025 Vizela - Alverca 1:1
    Latest results of Portimonense
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6Benfica B291011841:35641
    7Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    8FC Porto B281251136:35141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC281081037:44-738
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3