Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 34
- Referee: Martins T. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Alemao 🟨,
- 10', Alemao 🟨,
- 12', Monteiro T. ↓, John K. ↑,
- 15', 1 - 0, David Bruno ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Duran C. ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
- 63', 2 - 0, Varela F. ⚽, Carter A. (A),
- 69', David Bruno ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
- 69', Martins D. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
- 70', Paulo V. ↓, Kim Yong-Hak ↑,
- 71', Diaby M. ↓, Omrani S. ↑,
- 71', Djassi D. ↓, Alegria J. ↑,
- 78', Joao Bravim ↓, Silva P. ↑,
- 78', Carter A. ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, John K. ⚽,
- 90+2', Brenner ↓, Alysson ↑,
Chances of winning
Alverca
73.9% | Draw
16.3% | Portimonense
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alverca's performance.Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portimonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alverca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alverca - Portimonense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.52) |
5.68 ↑
(4.23) |
9.44 ↑
(5.76) |
6.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Alverca - Portimonense?
Users Predictions:
Alverca will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alverca will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 15).
- Alverca is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Portimonense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Alverca is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Alverca will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Portimonense?
Alverca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portimonense won against Alverca?
Portimonense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Portimonense were as follows:
04.01.2025
Portimonense
-
Alverca
1:0
Latest results of Alverca
Latest results of Portimonense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
