Result
0:1
20/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 15
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Mateus Sarara 🟨,
- 30', Xavier 🟨,
- 33', Wellington Carvalho 🟨,
- 39', Cagro W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Abel A. ⚽,
- 53', Kusso D. 🟨,
- 60', Wellington Carvalho ↓, Esajas R. ↑,
- 60', Muscat Z. ↓, Carraca ↑,
- 63', Welinton Junior ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
- 66', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
- 71', Mateus Sarara ↓, Ze Gabriel ↑,
- 71', Lobato S. ↓, Dauda M. ↑,
- 79', Pinho P. 🟨,
- 80', Kusso D. ↓, Milovanovic U. ↑,
- 80', Pinho P. ↓, Ktatau ↑,
- 86', Dauda M. ↓, Neves S. ↑,
- 87', Bruno Rodrigues ↓, Pina R. ↑,
- 90+4', Monteiro T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Cibois S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chaves
57.3% | Draw
24.8% | Portimonense
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Chaves - Portimonense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.72) |
3.8 ↑
(3.69) |
5.17 ↑
(4.45) |
7.2%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chaves - Portimonense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chaves will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 3.
- Chaves is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Portimonense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Portimonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Chaves is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Chaves will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Portimonense?
Chaves has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portimonense won against Chaves?
Portimonense has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Portimonense were as follows:
12.04.2025
Chaves
-
Portimonense
2:0
30.11.2024
Portimonense
-
Chaves
1:2
07.04.2024
Chaves
-
Portimonense
2:3
11.11.2023
Portimonense
-
Chaves
2:1
11.03.2023
Chaves
-
Portimonense
2:0
Latest results of Portimonense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
