Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Portland Hearts of Pine - Greenville Triumph
Result
3:1
16/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, NESN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.26
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
77% (262/339)80% (296/370)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.130.64
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2728
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
713
Passes
77% (262/339)80% (296/370)
Long passes
45% (23/51)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
63% (54/86)69% (82/119)
Crosses
28% (5/18)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.93
Throw-ins
2629
Fouls
137
Tackles
64% (9/14)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5057
Clearances
3523
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.641.13
Goals prevented
-0.30-1.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 32', Robles R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 50', Castro L. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Wada M. ,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Washington T. , Lopez M. (A),
  • 58', Robles R. , Marsh C. ,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Marsh C. ,
  • 67', Kamara J. , Varela W. ,
  • 67', Langlois P. , Quinones C. ,
  • 73', Polak T. , Mensah R. ,
  • 73', Soto E. , Benton D. ,
  • 74', Wada M. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Washington T. ,
  • 82', Wada M. , Keegan J. ,
  • 83', Lee E. , Zakowski B. ,
  • 87', Washington T. , James N. ,
  • 90', Wright O. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Morse H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portland Hearts of Pine
39.4%
Draw
28.8%
Greenville Triumph
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 29.1% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 29.3% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine - Greenville Triumph Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.5)
    3.18
    (3.12)
    2.87
    (2.63)
    9.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Greenville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Portland Hearts of Pine
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spokane Velocity1685322:15729
    2Chattanooga Red Wolves1576223:15827
    3AV Alta1675427:21626
    4Charlotte Independ1675425:20526
    5One Knoxville1365219:12723
    6FC Naples1665522:20223
    7Texoma1655620:26-620
    8Portland Hearts of Pine1548318:16220
    9Greenville1754821:23-219
    10Richmond Kickers1644824:28-416
    11Tormenta1543820:28-815
    12Westchester SC1536624:30-615
    13Union Omaha1442817:24-714
    14Forward Madison1427513:17-413

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )