Greenville Triumph vs Portland Hearts of Pine – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
03/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.31
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
72% (234/327)79% (348/438)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.311.19
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
2231
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
72% (234/327)79% (348/438)
Long passes
45% (38/84)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
59% (63/107)65% (76/117)
Crosses
50% (7/14)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.72
Throw-ins
2228
Fouls
1216
Tackles
47% (9/19)64% (9/14)
Duels won
6852
Clearances
3430
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.192.31
Goals prevented
-1.810.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Mensah R. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Wada M. , Lopez M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kvifte N. H. , Washington T. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Robles R. , Sims T. (A),
  • 53', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 62', Langlois P. , Kamara J. ,
  • 63', Wright O. , Southern E. ,
  • 66', Robles R. , Zakowski B. ,
  • 74', Corvino P. , Marsh C. ,
  • 74', Fricke B. , Agyaakwah I. ,
  • 74', Lee E. , Soto E. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Kamara J. , Messer N. (A),
  • 84', Mensah R. 🟨,
  • 85', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
  • 87', Varela W. , Reilly M. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Washington T. , Kamara J. (A),
  • 90+5', Bubb Z. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Greenville Triumph
49.5%
Draw
25.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 26.7% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greenville Triumph's performance.
  • Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.94)
    3.56
    (3.2)
    3.65
    (2.93)
    9.7%
    (16.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Greenville will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Hearts of Pine will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Greenville: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Greenville (votes: 1 - 25%). Hearts of Pine (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Greenville has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hearts of Pine is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Greenville has had a series of away games.
    • Greenville might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Greenville won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - Greenville Triumph 3:1
    Latest results of Greenville Triumph
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples32105:237
    2Spokane Velocity22004:136
    3Portland Hearts of Pine21103:124
    4Chattanooga Red Wolves11002:113
    5Forward Madison11002:113
    6One Knoxville21014:403
    7Union Omaha21013:303
    8Boise21013:303
    9AV Alta20201:102
    10Corpus Christi FC10102:201
    11Charlotte Independ10101:101
    12Westchester SC20113:4-11
    13Sarasota Paradise20112:3-11
    14Richmond Kickers20111:2-11
    15Fort Wayne20112:4-21
    16Greenville10011:2-10
    17New York Cosmos20022:6-40

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)