Result
 
                    2:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        03/09/2025 at  19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Argentina | Disney+ | 
|  Brazil | Disney+ | 
|  Chile | Disney+ | 
|  Colombia | Disney+ | 
|  Mexico | Disney+ | 
|  Peru | Disney+ | 
|  Uruguay | Disney+ | 
|  Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ | 
|  Venezuela | Disney+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.31 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 42% | 58% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 18 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 9 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (234/327) | 79% (348/438) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.31 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.19 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 18 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 12 | 11 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 9 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 22 | 31 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 16 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (234/327) | 79% (348/438) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 45% (38/84) | 44% (23/52) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 59% (63/107) | 65% (76/117) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 19% (5/26) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.72 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 22 | 28 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 12 | 16 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 64% (9/14) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 68 | 52 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 34 | 30 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 11 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.31 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -1.81 | 0.31 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨, 
- 15', 1 - 0, Mensah R. ⚽, 
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Wada M. ⚽, Lopez M. (A), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kvifte N. H. ↓, Washington T. ↑, 
- 50', 2 - 1, Robles R. ⚽, Sims T. (A), 
- 53', Lopez M. 🟨, 
- 62', Langlois P. ↓, Kamara J. ↑, 
- 63', Wright O. ↓, Southern E. ↑, 
- 66', Robles R. ↓, Zakowski B. ↑, 
- 74', Corvino P. ↓, Marsh C. ↑, 
- 74', Fricke B. ↓, Agyaakwah I. ↑, 
- 74', Lee E. ↓, Soto E. ↑, 
- 80', 2 - 2, Kamara J. ⚽, Messer N. (A), 
- 84', Mensah R. 🟨, 
- 85', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨, 
- 87', Varela W. ↓, Reilly M. ↑, 
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Washington T. ⚽, Kamara J. (A), 
- 90+5', Bubb Z. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Greenville Triumph 49.5%
 | Draw 25.6%
 | Portland Hearts of Pine 25%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greenville Triumph's performance.Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+3.9%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.84 ↓ (1.94)
 | 3.56 ↑ (3.2)
 | 3.65 ↑ (2.93)
 | 9.7% (16.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            9 users predict this event. Greenville will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Hearts of Pine will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Greenville: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Greenville (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
- Greenville has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hearts of Pine is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Greenville has had a series of away games.
- Greenville might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Greenville won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Greenville Triumph won against Portland Hearts of Pine?
                    
                    
                        
                            Greenville Triumph has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Portland Hearts of Pine won against Greenville Triumph?
                    
                    
                        
                             Portland Hearts of Pine has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine were as follows:
                                                        
                                16.07.2025 
                                Portland Hearts of Pine 
                                - 
                                Greenville Triumph 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Greenville Triumph                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Portland Hearts of Pine                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
USL League One Table
2025|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | One Knoxville | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 | 
| 2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 55 | 
| 3 | Spokane Velocity | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 41:35 | 6 | 51 | 
| 4 | FC Naples | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 | 
| 5 | Union Omaha | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 51:39 | 12 | 46 | 
| 6 | Tormenta | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 55:47 | 8 | 45 | 
| 7 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 45 | 
| 8 | Charlotte Independ | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 37 | 
| 9 | AV Alta | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 36 | 
| 10 | Forward Madison | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 35 | 
| 11 | Greenville | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 32 | 
| 12 | Texoma | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35:55 | -20 | 30 | 
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 43:53 | -10 | 29 | 
| 14 | Westchester SC | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 43:59 | -16 | 24 | 
      Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )