Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (386/459) | 59% (96/164) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (386/459) | 59% (96/164) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (92/136) | 48% (25/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 63% (15/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Serrano J. 🟥,
- 10', Cerro I. ↓, Halterman A. ↑,
- 26', Lopez M. ↓, Kamara J. ↑,
- 30', Heckenberg C. 🟨,
- 40', Vinberg S. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Kamara J. ⚽,
- 45', Henderlong K. 🟨,
- 45+4', Fernandes G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mahlamaki S. ↓, Langlois P. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Prpa L. ⚽,
- 58', Morse H. 🟨,
- 60', Messer N. 🟨,
- 67', Reilly M. ↓, Quinones C. ↑,
- 68', Wright O. ↓, Liadi A. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Varela W. ⚽,
- 75', O'Connor K. ↓, Torrellas M. ↑,
- 77', Henderlong K. 🟨,
- 82', Fernandes G. ↓, Sulia R. ↑,
- 82', Prpa L. ↓, Garrett I. ↑,
- 82', Heckenberg C. ↓, Rubinstein R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Portland Hearts of Pine
42.3% | Draw
30.8% | Naples
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naples might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.45) |
3 ↓
(3.1) |
3.42 ↑
(2.75) |
8.3%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Hearts of Pine has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Naples has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Naples may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Naples has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Hearts of Pine won against Naples?
Portland Hearts of Pine has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naples won against Portland Hearts of Pine?
Naples has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples were as follows:
Latest results of Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31:19 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 35 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | FC Naples | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Charlotte Independ | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | AV Alta | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 31:27 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Greenville | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Texoma | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27:35 | -8 | 22 |
| 9 | Union Omaha | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 21 |
| 10 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Tormenta | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Forward Madison | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 29:39 | -10 | 16 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
