Portland Hearts of Pine vs Naples – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.85
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
80% (261/325)80% (332/417)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.68
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
113
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2516
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
80% (261/325)80% (332/417)
Long passes
48% (25/52)39% (26/66)
Passes in final third
74% (92/125)61% (64/105)
Crosses
19% (3/16)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.07
Throw-ins
1928
Fouls
1914
Tackles
74% (14/19)73% (16/22)
Duels won
5156
Clearances
2724
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.681.26
Goals prevented
0.680.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', Dengler J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Wright O. (Pen),
  • 44', Messer N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', O'Connor K. , Prpa L. ,
  • 68', Wright O. 🟨,
  • 69', Poon-Angeron M. , Langlois P. ,
  • 72', Onen J. , Bachstein D. ,
  • 75', Wright O. , Kamara J. ,
  • 80', Dengler J. 🟨,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 89', Varela W. , Reilly M. ,
  • 89', Wada M. , Southern E. ,
  • 90+1', Heckenberg C. , Fernandes G. ,
  • 90+3', Morse H. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Portland Hearts of Pine
47%
Draw
27.4%
Naples
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 26.5% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 25.4% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.97)
    3.36
    (3.41)
    3.6
    (3.28)
    8.8%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ))
    • Hearts of Pine has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Naples is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Hearts of Pine might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hearts of Pine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Hearts of Pine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples 2:1
    Latest results of Naples
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)