One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
10/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.18
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
82% (424/515)76% (285/377)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.18
xG on target (xGOT)
2.281.11
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2618
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
914
Passes
82% (424/515)76% (285/377)
Long passes
47% (34/72)27% (15/56)
Passes in final third
71% (104/147)62% (69/112)
Crosses
40% (10/25)10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.751.28
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
149
Tackles
81% (17/21)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5556
Clearances
1837
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.112.28
Goals prevented
0.11-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', Vinberg S. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Tekiela K. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Varela W. , Reilly M. ,
  • 46', Brown J. , Bull ,
  • 46', Calixtro G. , Zarokostas S. ,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Zarokostas S. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Keegan J. ,
  • 64', Wright S. , Mohamed M. ,
  • 70', Poon-Angeron M. , Kvifte N. H. ,
  • 76', Haugli S. 🟨,
  • 78', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 78', Rosamilia N. , Doyle M. ,
  • 79', Johnson C. , Kelly-Rosales A. ,
  • 85', Tekiela K. , Goling M. ,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Diene B. , Kelly-Rosales A. (A),
  • 90', Doyle M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Wada M. , Hersi K. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


One Knoxville
47.9%
Draw
28.1%
Portland Hearts of Pine
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 27.4% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 27.6% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.85)
    3.27
    (3.3)
    3.83
    (3.82)
    8.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    • One Knoxville is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hearts of Pine has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • One Knoxville could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine were as follows:
    02.08.2025 One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine 1:0
    04.05.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - One Knoxville 1:1
    Latest results of One Knoxville
    Latest results of Portland Hearts of Pine
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples32105:237
    2Spokane Velocity22004:136
    3Portland Hearts of Pine21103:124
    4Chattanooga Red Wolves11002:113
    5Forward Madison11002:113
    6One Knoxville21014:403
    7Union Omaha21013:303
    8Boise21013:303
    9AV Alta20201:102
    10Corpus Christi FC10102:201
    11Charlotte Independ10101:101
    12Westchester SC20113:4-11
    13Sarasota Paradise20112:3-11
    14Richmond Kickers20111:2-11
    15Fort Wayne20112:4-21
    16Greenville10011:2-10
    17New York Cosmos20022:6-40

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)