Portland Timbers 2 vs St. Louis City 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2
Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.39
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
75% (239/319)87% (431/496)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.98
Total shots
716
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
944
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
75% (239/319)87% (431/496)
Long passes
38% (24/63)63% (37/59)
Passes in final third
52% (34/66)74% (123/166)
Crosses
50% (4/8)38% (14/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.372.25
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
1316
Tackles
60% (9/15)46% (6/13)
Duels won
5346
Clearances
3726
Interceptions
214
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.981.19
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Bunbury M. , Moreno A. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Santos N. , Iziota E. (A), Bunbury M. (A2)
  • 32', Cilley C. 🟨,
  • 37', Nunez D. 🟨,
  • 43', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Reid J. , Kidd M. ,
  • 46', Glover C. , Carlock E. ,
  • 59', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
  • 72', Nunez D. , Gallardo S. ,
  • 72', Watts A. , Armstrong D. ,
  • 73', Jura S. 🟨,
  • 85', Burns L. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Perez M. (Pen),
  • 90+1', VanVoorhis B. , Lund N. ,
  • 90+3', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers 2
22.3%
Draw
21.6%
St. Louis City 2
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.2% 19.1% 63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 18.4% 66.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers 2's performance.
  • St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Louis City 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Louis City 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.19
    (5.33)
    4.32
    (4.78)
    1.66
    (1.44)
    7.2%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Portland 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • St. Louis City 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Portland 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Portland 2 has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, St. Louis City 2 is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.8:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
    23.05.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Portland Timbers 2 6:3
    07.04.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Portland Timbers 2 2:1
    18.08.2023 St. Louis City 2 - Portland Timbers 2 4:1
    25.05.2023 Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2 1:2
    27.08.2022 Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2 3:5
    Latest results of Portland Timbers 2
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1St. Louis City 2 (1)Ventura County (8)3 : 0
    2Real Monarchs (4)Minnesota 2 (5)1 : 2
    3Philadelphia Union II (2)Cincinnati 2 (7)2 : 1
    4Chattanooga (4)Huntsville (5)0 : 2
    5New York Red Bulls II (1)Carolina Core (8)5 : 1
    6New England Revolution II (3)Chicago Fire II (6)0 : 1
    7Town FC (2)North Texas (6)3 : 0
    8Colorado Rapids 2 (3)Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1St. Louis City 2 (1)Minnesota 2 (5)
    2Philadelphia Union II (2)Huntsville (5)1 : 0
    3New York Red Bulls II (1)Chicago Fire II (6)
    4Town FC (2)Colorado Rapids 2 (3)