Portland Timbers 2 vs St. Louis City 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.39
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
75% (239/319)87% (431/496)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.98
Total shots
716
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
944
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
75% (239/319)87% (431/496)
Long passes
38% (24/63)63% (37/59)
Passes in final third
52% (34/66)74% (123/166)
Crosses
50% (4/8)38% (14/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.372.25
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
1316
Tackles
60% (9/15)46% (6/13)
Duels won
5346
Clearances
3726
Interceptions
214
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.981.19
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Bunbury M. , Moreno A. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Santos N. , Iziota E. (A), Bunbury M. (A2)
  • 32', Cilley C. 🟨,
  • 37', Nunez D. 🟨,
  • 43', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Reid J. , Kidd M. ,
  • 46', Glover C. , Carlock E. ,
  • 59', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
  • 72', Nunez D. , Gallardo S. ,
  • 72', Watts A. , Armstrong D. ,
  • 73', Jura S. 🟨,
  • 85', Burns L. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Perez M. (Pen),
  • 90+1', VanVoorhis B. , Lund N. ,
  • 90+3', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers 2
22.3%
Draw
21.6%
St. Louis City 2
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.2% 19.1% 63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 18.4% 66.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers 2's performance.
  • St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Louis City 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Louis City 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.19
    (5.33)
    4.32
    (4.78)
    1.66
    (1.44)
    7.2%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Portland 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • St. Louis City 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Portland 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Portland 2 has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, St. Louis City 2 is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.8:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
    23.05.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Portland Timbers 2 6:3
    07.04.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Portland Timbers 2 2:1
    18.08.2023 St. Louis City 2 - Portland Timbers 2 4:1
    25.05.2023 Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2 1:2
    27.08.2022 Portland Timbers 2 - St. Louis City 2 3:5
    Latest results of Portland Timbers 2
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    2Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    3Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    4New England Revolution II522016:410
    5Connecticut FC520038:116
    6Toronto FC II5102210:75
    7Cincinnati 2510043:83
    8New York City II401121:73


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2Chattanooga6301213:1110
    3Atlanta United 2630129:810
    4Chicago Fire II513014:49
    5Orlando City B5210211:138
    6Huntsville511128:146
    7Inter Miami II601236:144
    8Carolina Core500235:102


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County6320111:713
    2San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    3Real Monarchs5220112:810
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    5Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    6Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    7Tacoma Defiance601143:103


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3North Texas6211211:99
    4Austin FC II520217:78
    5Minnesota 2520036:86
    6Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    7Colorado Rapids 2500236:132


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    3Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    4Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    5Chattanooga6301213:1110
    6Atlanta United 2630129:810
    7New England Revolution II522016:410
    8Chicago Fire II513014:49
    9Orlando City B5210211:138
    10Connecticut FC520038:116
    11Huntsville511128:146
    12Toronto FC II5102210:75
    13Inter Miami II601236:144
    14Cincinnati 2510043:83
    15New York City II401121:73
    16Carolina Core500235:102


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3Ventura County6320111:713
    4San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    5Real Monarchs5220112:810
    6North Texas6211211:99
    7Austin FC II520217:78
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    9Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    10Minnesota 2520036:86
    11Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    12Tacoma Defiance601143:103
    13Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    14Colorado Rapids 2500236:132

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)