Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Portland Timbers - New England Revolution
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.38
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
86% (436/506)86% (413/483)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.931.33
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2728
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
96
Passes
86% (436/506)86% (413/483)
Long passes
50% (26/52)47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
77% (102/133)76% (94/124)
Crosses
11% (2/19)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.34
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
69
Tackles
78% (7/9)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.330.93
Goals prevented
0.33-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Smith I. , Moreno S. (A), Kelsy K. (A2)
  • 35', 1 - 1, Langoni L. , Gil C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Miller K. , Guerra G. ,
  • 71', Ayala D. , Chara D. ,
  • 71', Kelsy K. , Mora F. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Pereira da Costa D. ,
  • 74', Langoni L. , Urruti M. ,
  • 80', Bye B. , Diaz L. ,
  • 83', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 83', Smith I. , Miller E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
45%
Draw
25.2%
New England Revolution
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 25% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 25.3% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Portland Timbers - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.96)
    3.77
    (3.8)
    3.19
    (3.59)
    5.3%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). New England will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Portland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Fory J. (Yellow Cards) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Bono A. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    MLS Table
    Main

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    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)