Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.38
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
86% (436/506)86% (413/483)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.931.33
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2728
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
96
Passes
86% (436/506)86% (413/483)
Long passes
50% (26/52)47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
77% (102/133)76% (94/124)
Crosses
11% (2/19)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.34
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
69
Tackles
78% (7/9)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.330.93
Goals prevented
0.33-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Smith I. , Moreno S. (A), Kelsy K. (A2)
  • 35', 1 - 1, Langoni L. , Gil C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Miller K. , Guerra G. ,
  • 71', Ayala D. , Chara D. ,
  • 71', Kelsy K. , Mora F. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Pereira da Costa D. ,
  • 74', Langoni L. , Urruti M. ,
  • 80', Bye B. , Diaz L. ,
  • 83', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 83', Smith I. , Miller E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
45%
Draw
25.2%
New England Revolution
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 25% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 25.3% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Portland Timbers - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.96)
    3.77
    (3.8)
    3.19
    (3.59)
    5.3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). New England will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 44.1%94.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - New England (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. New England (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Portland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Fory J. (Yellow Cards) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Bono A. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)