Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Portland Timbers - New England Revolution
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.38
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
86% (436/506)86% (413/483)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.931.33
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2728
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
96
Passes
86% (436/506)86% (413/483)
Long passes
50% (26/52)47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
77% (102/133)76% (94/124)
Crosses
11% (2/19)17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.34
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
69
Tackles
78% (7/9)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.330.93
Goals prevented
0.33-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Smith I. , Moreno S. (A), Kelsy K. (A2)
  • 35', 1 - 1, Langoni L. , Gil C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Miller K. , Guerra G. ,
  • 71', Ayala D. , Chara D. ,
  • 71', Kelsy K. , Mora F. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Pereira da Costa D. ,
  • 74', Langoni L. , Urruti M. ,
  • 80', Bye B. , Diaz L. ,
  • 83', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 83', Smith I. , Miller E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
45%
Draw
25.2%
New England Revolution
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 25% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 25.3% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Portland Timbers - New England Revolution Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.96)
    3.77
    (3.8)
    3.19
    (3.59)
    5.3%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - New England Revolution?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). New England will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Portland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Fory J. (Yellow Cards) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Bono A. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders28129750:401045
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    6Orlando City29139755:411448
    7New York City28145941:33847
    8Inter Miami26137654:431146
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)