Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 1
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.57
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
85% (411/485)85% (400/471)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.51
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (411/485)85% (400/471)
Long passes
44% (23/52)65% (42/65)
Passes in final third
71% (87/123)70% (104/149)
Crosses
35% (7/20)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.77
Throw-ins
1218
Fouls
1110
Tackles
70% (16/23)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5738
Clearances
2827
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.510.88
Goals prevented
0.51-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, de La Vega P. , Roldan A. (A), Ferreira J. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Kim Kee-Hee , Bell J. ,
  • 65', de La Vega P. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 65', Morris J. , Musovski D. ,
  • 70', Ferreira J. , Leyva D. ,
  • 78', Smith I. 🟨,
  • 79', Kelsy K. , Guerra G. ,
  • 79', Smith I. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 79', Ayala D. , Chara D. ,
  • 84', Paredes C. , Mora F. ,
  • 85', Pereira da Costa D. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 87', Rothrock P. , Joao Paulo ,
  • 90+4', Rusnak A. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Seattle Sounders
54.8%
Draw
23.3%
Portland Timbers
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 23.2% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 22.8% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.77)
    4.07
    (4.05)
    4.38
    (3.98)
    5.3%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Seattle (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Seattle Sounders will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Seattle (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Seattle is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Baker-Whiting R. (International duty) Hawkins S. (Thigh Injury) Kent R. (Muscle Injury) Vargas O. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Portland: Carballo F. (Lower-Body Injury) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Seattle: Gomez Andrade Y. (Injury) Roldan A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:1
    19.10.2024 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 1:1
    31.08.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:0
    12.05.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    02.09.2023 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 2:2
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)