Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.49
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
412
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
84% (380/452)85% (432/506)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.80
Total shots
412
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
17
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1227
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
84% (380/452)85% (432/506)
Long passes
53% (21/40)49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
68% (75/110)76% (119/157)
Crosses
19% (3/16)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.88
Throw-ins
148
Fouls
1810
Tackles
61% (11/18)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4656
Clearances
2927
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
0.800.34
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', Ayala D. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Rusnak A. , Musovski D. (A), Roldan C. (A2)
  • 34', Miller K. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Moreno S. , Pereira da Costa D. (A), Mosquera J. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Miller K. , Zuparic D. ,
  • 46', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 50', Nouhou 🟨,
  • 67', Antony , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 71', Ferreira J. , de La Vega P. ,
  • 71', Kent R. , Rothrock P. ,
  • 78', Mosquera J. , Miller E. ,
  • 81', Musovski D. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 90+1', Fory J. , Bravo C. ,
  • 90+1', Moreno S. , Fernandez O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
34%
Draw
26.5%
Seattle Sounders
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 25.5% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26.4% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Timbers's form might have worsened.
  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Sounders's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Timbers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.23)
    3.57
    (3.6)
    2.42
    (2.78)
    4.9%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Seattle will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Seattle (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Seattle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Fory J. (Leg Injury) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Morris J. (Hamstring Injury) Ragen J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Araujo M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:28. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 1:1
    31.08.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:0
    12.05.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    02.09.2023 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 2:2
    03.06.2023 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 0:0
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City27661539:55-1624
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Charlotte281521146:39747
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls281161142:38439
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC27591327:34-724
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd274111231:49-1823
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)