Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers
Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 1
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.57
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
85% (411/485)85% (400/471)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.51
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (411/485)85% (400/471)
Long passes
44% (23/52)65% (42/65)
Passes in final third
71% (87/123)70% (104/149)
Crosses
35% (7/20)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.77
Throw-ins
1218
Fouls
1110
Tackles
70% (16/23)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5738
Clearances
2827
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.510.88
Goals prevented
0.51-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, de La Vega P. , Roldan A. (A), Ferreira J. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Kim Kee-Hee , Bell J. ,
  • 65', de La Vega P. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 65', Morris J. , Musovski D. ,
  • 70', Ferreira J. , Leyva D. ,
  • 78', Smith I. 🟨,
  • 79', Kelsy K. , Guerra G. ,
  • 79', Smith I. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 79', Ayala D. , Chara D. ,
  • 84', Paredes C. , Mora F. ,
  • 85', Pereira da Costa D. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 87', Rothrock P. , Joao Paulo ,
  • 90+4', Rusnak A. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Seattle Sounders
54.8%
Draw
23.3%
Portland Timbers
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 23.2% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 22.8% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.77)
    4.06
    (4.05)
    4.33
    (3.98)
    5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Seattle Sounders will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Seattle is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Baker-Whiting R. (International duty) Hawkins S. (Thigh Injury) Kent R. (Muscle Injury) Vargas O. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Portland: Carballo F. (Lower-Body Injury) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Seattle: Gomez Andrade Y. (Injury) Roldan A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:1
    19.10.2024 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 1:1
    31.08.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:0
    12.05.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    02.09.2023 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 2:2
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 32179663:352860
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 32178763:372659
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd325121537:58-2127
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)