Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 1
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.57
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
85% (411/485)85% (400/471)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.51
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (411/485)85% (400/471)
Long passes
44% (23/52)65% (42/65)
Passes in final third
71% (87/123)70% (104/149)
Crosses
35% (7/20)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.77
Throw-ins
1218
Fouls
1110
Tackles
70% (16/23)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5738
Clearances
2827
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.510.88
Goals prevented
0.51-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, de La Vega P. , Roldan A. (A), Ferreira J. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Kim Kee-Hee , Bell J. ,
  • 65', de La Vega P. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 65', Morris J. , Musovski D. ,
  • 70', Ferreira J. , Leyva D. ,
  • 78', Smith I. 🟨,
  • 79', Kelsy K. , Guerra G. ,
  • 79', Smith I. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 79', Ayala D. , Chara D. ,
  • 84', Paredes C. , Mora F. ,
  • 85', Pereira da Costa D. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 87', Rothrock P. , Joao Paulo ,
  • 90+4', Rusnak A. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Seattle Sounders
54.8%
Draw
23.3%
Portland Timbers
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 23.2% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 22.8% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.77)
    4.07
    (4.05)
    4.38
    (3.98)
    5.3%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Seattle (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Seattle Sounders will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Seattle is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Baker-Whiting R. (International duty) Hawkins S. (Thigh Injury) Kent R. (Muscle Injury) Vargas O. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Portland: Carballo F. (Lower-Body Injury) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Seattle: Gomez Andrade Y. (Injury) Roldan A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:1
    19.10.2024 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 1:1
    31.08.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:0
    12.05.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    02.09.2023 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 2:2
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)