Result
1:2
30/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 12
- Referee: Neves G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Porto Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Fabinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Rodrigues D. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
- 46', Caicedo B. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Karamoh Y. ⚽,
- 59', 1 - 1, Fabinho ⚽,
- 61', Do Marcolino F. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
- 63', Perez T. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
- 65', Rocha L. 🟨,
- 71', Felipe Silva 🟨,
- 72', Karamoh Y. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
- 73', Danny 🟨,
- 77', Danny ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 77', Teixeira M. ↓, Cerveira T. ↑,
- 77', Felipe Silva 🟨,
- 79', Vonic L. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
- 83', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 2, Joao Vasco ⚽,
- 86', Miranda A. 🟨,
- 87', Rocha L. 🟨,
- 88', Silverio 🟨,
- 90', Fabinho ↓, Faria B. ↑,
- 90+5', Arsenio 🟨,
Chances of winning
Porto B
34.5% | Draw
28.9% | Lusitânia
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Porto B - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.48) |
3.26 ↓
(3.49) |
2.56 ↓
(2.62) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Porto B - Lusitânia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Porto B (votes: 2 - 50%). Lusitânia (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Lusitânia (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Lusitânia (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Lusitânia (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Porto B will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Porto B (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lusitânia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- Recent performances by Porto B have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lusitânia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto B won against Lusitânia?
Porto B has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Porto B?
Lusitânia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto B - Lusitânia were as follows:
Latest results of Porto B
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
