Result
0:2
01/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 24
- Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 7 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Montenegro | Sportklub 7 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, Sportklub 7 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | SportKlub 7 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (360/434) | 84% (393/466) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 65% (80/123) | 71% (70/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 43% (3/7) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 80% (8/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Samu (Pen),
- 16', Lamba C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Trezza A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arouca
18.4% | Draw
24.9% | Porto
56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Arouca - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.17 ↑
(4.5) |
3.79 ↑
(3.75) |
1.67 ↓
(1.72) |
5.6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arouca - Porto?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Porto will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 44.9% – 88.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 1.
- Arouca is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Porto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Porto is a favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Pepê
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Porto: Grujic M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Arouca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 10:46 (average 0.6:2.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:20 (average 0.7:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Porto?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Arouca?
Porto has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Porto were as follows:
29.09.2024
Porto
-
Arouca
4:0
12.02.2024
Arouca
-
Porto
3:2
03.09.2023
Porto
-
Arouca
1:1
08.05.2023
Arouca
-
Porto
0:1
11.01.2023
Porto
-
Arouca
4:0
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
