Result
0:4
29/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 7
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | ZAP |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
Denmark | Bold+ |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1, Silk Universal |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hungary | Sport 1 |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
Kuwait | KTV Sport |
Lithuania | Sport 1 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Suriname | SCCN |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.72 | 2.93 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
79% (277/350) | 84% (327/389) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.72 | 2.93 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.97 | 3.13 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
79% (277/350) | 84% (327/389) |
Long passes |
---|
27% (14/51) | 55% (24/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (44/74) | 58% (46/79) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (5/20) | 23% (5/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.67 | 0.88 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (5/8) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.13 | 0.97 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.87 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Trezza A. 🟨,
- 6', Fernandes M. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Samu ⚽, Froholdt V. (A),
- 33', Popovic B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 48', Fernandes M. 🟨,
- 51', Veiga G. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 2, Gul D. ⚽, Pepê (A),
- 56', Trezza A. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 3, Moura F. ⚽, Sainz B. (A),
- 63', Gul D. 🟨,
- 64', Gozalbez P. 🟨,
- 65', Gozalbez P. ↓, Puche ↑,
- 65', Djouahra N. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
- 69', Moura F. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
- 69', Pepê ↓, Costa A. ↑,
- 69', Sainz B. ↓, Prpic D. ↑,
- 69', Simao D. 🟨,
- 74', Tiago Esgaio 🟨,
- 79', Barbero I. ↓, Jansonas R. ↑,
- 79', Simao D. ↓, van Ee E. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 4, Zaidu ⚽, Costa A. (A),
Chances of winning
Arouca 9.4% | Draw 16% | Porto 74.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Arouca - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
10.16 ↑ (7.38) |
5.86 ↑ (4.65) |
1.28 ↓ (1.38) |
5.3% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Arouca - Porto?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 23 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 1.
- In recent matches, Arouca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Porto is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Arouca: Flores M.
(Inactive)
Fontan J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Injury)
de Jong L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Sola A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Porto: Zaidu
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 10:48. (average 0.6:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:22. (average 0.6:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Porto?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Arouca?
Porto has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Porto were as follows:
01.03.2025
Arouca
-
Porto
0:2
29.09.2024
Porto
-
Arouca
4:0
12.02.2024
Arouca
-
Porto
3:2
03.09.2023
Porto
-
Arouca
1:1
08.05.2023
Arouca
-
Porto
0:1
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Moreirense | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
8 | Santa Clara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
10 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
11 | Estrela | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
12 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Nacional | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
14 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
15 | Estoril | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
18 | AFS | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2