Result
2:1
18/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | Okko Sport, TV Start |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, SportKlub 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (402/484) | 81% (275/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (402/484) | 81% (275/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (35/66) | 56% (25/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (82/118) | 71% (75/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 50 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Mora R. ⚽, Moura F. (A),
- 25', Sa G. 🟨,
- 37', Moura F. 🟨,
- 43', Varela A. 🟨,
- 44', Aranda O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 2 - 0, Mora R. ⚽,
- 63', Rafa Soares ↓, Pedro Bondo ↑,
- 63', Topic M. ↓, De Amorim M. ↑,
- 66', Gul D. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 66', Pepê ↓, Samu ↑,
- 76', Sa G. ↓, Gil Dias ↑,
- 76', Sorriso ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
- 77', Mora R. ↓, Borges G. ↑,
- 80', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Pedro Bondo ⚽, Gil Dias (A),
- 83', Varela A. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
- 83', Vieira F. ↓, Perez N. ↑,
- 90+4', Borges G. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Porto
64.6% | Draw
21.2% | Famalicão
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Porto - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.47) |
4.41 ↑
(4.2) |
6.81 ↑
(6.5) |
6.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Porto - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Famalicão will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto won 3.
- Recent matches Porto is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Famalicão is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Porto is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M.
(Yellow Cards)
Grujic M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
William Gomes
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Pinheiro R.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Porto won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 35:17 (average 2.5:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:8 (average 3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Famalicão?
Porto has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Porto?
Famalicão has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Famalicão were as follows:
07.12.2024
Famalicão
-
Porto
1:1
13.04.2024
Porto
-
Famalicão
2:2
02.12.2023
Famalicão
-
Porto
0:3
20.05.2023
Famalicão
-
Porto
2:4
04.05.2023
Porto
-
Famalicão
3:2
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
