Result
2:1
18/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
Hungary | Sport 2 |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Russia | Okko Sport, TV Start |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1, SportKlub 4 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.54 | 0.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
83% (402/484) | 81% (275/341) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.54 | 0.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.14 | 0.32 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 10 |
Through passes |
---|
0% (0/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
83% (402/484) | 81% (275/341) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (35/66) | 56% (25/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (82/118) | 71% (75/105) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (3/13) | 10% (2/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.43 | 0.38 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (8/11) | 46% (6/13) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 50 |
Clearances Total |
---|
29 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.32 | 1.14 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.68 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Mora R. ⚽, Moura F. (A),
- 25', Sa G. 🟨,
- 37', Moura F. 🟨,
- 43', Varela A. 🟨,
- 44', Aranda O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 2 - 0, Mora R. ⚽,
- 63', Rafa Soares ↓, Pedro Bondo ↑,
- 63', Topic M. ↓, De Amorim M. ↑,
- 66', Gul D. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 66', Pepê ↓, Samu ↑,
- 76', Sa G. ↓, Gil Dias ↑,
- 76', Sorriso ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
- 77', Mora R. ↓, Borges G. ↑,
- 80', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Pedro Bondo ⚽, Gil Dias (A),
- 83', Varela A. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
- 83', Vieira F. ↓, Perez N. ↑,
- 90+4', Borges G. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Porto 64.6% | Draw 21.2% | Famalicão 14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Porto - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 ↓ (1.47) |
4.41 ↑ (4.2) |
6.81 ↑ (6.5) |
6.3% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Porto - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Famalicão will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto won 3.
- Recent matches Porto is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Famalicão is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Porto is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M.
(Yellow Cards)
Grujic M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
William Gomes
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Pinheiro R.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Porto won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 35:17 (average 2.5:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:8 (average 3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Famalicão?
Porto has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Porto?
Famalicão has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Famalicão were as follows:
07.12.2024
Famalicão
-
Porto
1:1
13.04.2024
Porto
-
Famalicão
2:2
02.12.2023
Famalicão
-
Porto
0:3
20.05.2023
Famalicão
-
Porto
2:4
04.05.2023
Porto
-
Famalicão
3:2
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2