Porto vs Malmö – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalSport TV5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.670.87
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
112
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
88% (459/523)77% (289/373)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.670.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.610.48
Total shots
227
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
3612
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
88% (459/523)77% (289/373)
Long passes
48% (14/29)26% (9/35)
Passes in final third
81% (127/157)63% (30/48)
Crosses
28% (7/25)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
2.960.08
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
1316
Tackles
65% (13/20)71% (10/14)
Duels won
6341
Clearances
1027
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
40
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
29
xGOT faced
0.482.61
Goals prevented
0.480.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Samu , Mora R. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Samu , Pepê (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Lundbergh T. , Lewicki O. ,
  • 57', Mora R. , Eustaquio S. ,
  • 57', Samu , Gul D. ,
  • 64', Busanello 🟨,
  • 64', Haksabanovic S. , Botheim E. ,
  • 64', Soumah S. , Ekong E. ,
  • 70', Pepê , William Gomes ,
  • 70', Fernandes M. , Costa A. ,
  • 81', Stryger J. 🟨,
  • 82', Sainz B. , Alarcon A. ,
  • 84', Busanello , Karlsson J. ,
  • 84', Johnsen L. , Gudjohnsen D. T. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Moura F. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Porto
81.5%
Draw
12.7%
Malmö
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.6% 14.4% 7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Porto - Malmö Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.17
    (1.2)
    7.53
    (6.56)
    16.99
    (13.48)
    4.5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Porto - Malmö?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 51 - 94.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 88.3%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Porto (1.55) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Porto (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Porto (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Porto (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Porto (1.48) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.75 - Porto (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Porto (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Porto (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 40 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Malmö (votes: 1 - 2.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Porto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Malmö is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Porto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Karamoh Y. (Inactive) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Malmö: Ali T. (Inactive) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Rosengren O. (Inactive) Sigurdsson A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Malmö: Bolin H. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Porto
    07.12.2025 Tondela - Porto 0:2
    04.12.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 1:3
    30.11.2025 Porto - Estoril Praia 1:0
    27.11.2025 Porto - Nice 3:0
    22.11.2025 Porto - Sintrense 3:0
    Latest results of Malmö
    27.11.2025 Nottingham Forest - Malmö 3:0
    09.11.2025 Malmö - GAIS 2:1
    06.11.2025 Malmö - Panathinaikos 0:1
    01.11.2025 Häcken - Malmö 1:1
    27.10.2025 Malmö - Hammarby 1:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2