Luton Town vs Portsmouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Luton Town - Portsmouth
Result
1:0
01/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 35
  • Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.58
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
107
Shots on Goal
21
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
27
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
1410
Offsides
21
Fouls
1014
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
1823
Touches in the Opposition Box
2118
Passes
59% (185/312)70% (263/374)
Passes in the final third
45% (59/131)59% (79/134)
Crosses
17% (2/12)8% (3/36)
Tackles
83% (10/12)71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
4037
Interceptions
811

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Dozzell A. 🟨,
  • 16', Ritchie M. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Clark J. ,
  • 39', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ritchie M. , Gordon K. ,
  • 55', Brown J. 🟨,
  • 57', Brown J. , Alli M. ,
  • 63', Murphy J. , Yengi K. ,
  • 69', Doughty A. , McGuinness M. ,
  • 70', Walsh L. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 73', Swanson Z. , Bramall C. ,
  • 73', Aouchiche A. , Saydee C. ,
  • 81', Hayden I. , Devlin T. ,
  • 90', Kaminski T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Morris C. , Adebayo E. ,
  • 90+5', Saydee C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
45.8%
Draw
27.9%
Portsmouth
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 26.9% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 27.7% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Luton Town - Portsmouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.1)
    3.42
    (3.51)
    3.63
    (3.37)
    4.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Luton Town - Portsmouth?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 25.5%74.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.
    • Luton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Portsmouth is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Portsmouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Luton will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Luton: Burke R. (Hip Injury) Hashioka D. (Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) McGuinness M. (Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Leg Injury) Lane P. (Knee Injury) Lang C. (Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Injury) Williams J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Morris C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portsmouth: Atkinson R. (Injury) Swanson Z. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Luton won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Portsmouth were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Portsmouth - Luton Town 0:0
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City31205:235
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Derby30125:9-41
    20Wrexham20023:5-20
    21Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    22Blackburn20021:3-20
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One