Result
2:0
23/02/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 34
- Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (323/382) | 81% (255/313) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 74% (50/68) | 69% (75/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 11% (3/27) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 41% (9/22) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 36 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Ngakia J. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Dele-Bashiru T. (Pen),
- 23', 2 - 0, Kayembe E. ⚽, Chakvetadze G. (A),
- 42', Andersen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Larouci Y. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
- 46', Nordas L. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
- 46', Andersen M. ↓, Makosso C. ↑,
- 46', Nakamba M. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
- 53', Keben K. ↓, Pollock M. ↑,
- 58', Pollock M. 🟨,
- 70', Baptiste S. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
- 73', Morris C. 🟨,
- 78', Doumbia M. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
- 78', Abankwah J. ↓, Sierralta F. ↑,
- 84', Morris C. ↓, Adebayo E. ↑,
- 90+6', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Watford
40.7% | Draw
29.8% | Luton Town
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Watford - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35
(2.35) |
3.18 ↓
(3.48) |
3.25 ↑
(2.88) |
4.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Watford - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Luton will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 59% – 91%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Watford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Injury)
Bachmann D.
(Ankle Injury)
Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Chong T.
(Muscle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Wiley C.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Burke R.
(Hip Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Luton Town?
Watford has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Watford?
Luton Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Luton Town were as follows:
19.10.2024
Luton Town
-
Watford
3:0
01.04.2023
Luton Town
-
Watford
2:0
23.10.2022
Watford
-
Luton Town
4:0
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Luton Town
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
