Portugalete vs Alavés C – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Gomez X. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 88', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Portugalete
69%
Draw
20.9%
Alavés C
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 22.6% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 21.6% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portugalete that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Portugalete - Alavés C Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.4)
    4.34
    (4.01)
    9
    (7.23)
    10%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by Portugalete have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alavés C is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Portugalete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Portugalete is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Alavés C were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Portugalete - Alavés C 1:1
    27.10.2024 Alavés C - Portugalete 0:1
    20.01.2024 Portugalete - Alavés C 3:1
    Latest results of Portugalete
    20.12.2025 Portugalete - Leioa 0:1
    14.12.2025 Eibar C - Portugalete 0:5
    06.12.2025 Portugalete - Añorga 3:0
    Latest results of Alavés C
    04.01.2026 Alavés C - San Ignacio 2:0
    20.12.2025 Derio - Alavés C 2:3
    13.12.2025 Alavés C - Touring KE 0:0
    06.12.2025 Zarautz KE - Alavés C 0:3
    16.11.2025 Alavés C - Leioa 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete24193252:173560
    2Leioa24143735:231245
    3Lagun Onak24132936:221441
    4Touring KE24118531:201141
    5Aurrera de Vitoria24124831:30140
    6San Ignacio24115824:18638
    7Derio24114937:29837
    8Alaves C24106838:271136
    9UD Aretxabaleta24105941:40135
    10Durango2489724:21333
    11Real Sociedad C241031126:28-233
    12Santurtzi2469924:32-827
    13Eibar C24751228:38-1026
    14Zamudio24741327:39-1225
    15Pasaia24661216:30-1424
    16Anorga24731423:43-2024
    17Zarautz KE24631520:43-2321
    18SD Deusto24461417:30-1318

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation