Portugalete vs Alavés C – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Gomez X. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 88', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Portugalete
69%
Draw
20.9%
Alavés C
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 22.6% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 21.6% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portugalete that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Portugalete - Alavés C Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.4)
    4.34
    (4.01)
    9
    (7.23)
    10%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by Portugalete have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alavés C is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Portugalete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Portugalete is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Alavés C were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Portugalete - Alavés C 1:1
    27.10.2024 Alavés C - Portugalete 0:1
    20.01.2024 Portugalete - Alavés C 3:1
    Latest results of Portugalete
    20.12.2025 Portugalete - Leioa 0:1
    14.12.2025 Eibar C - Portugalete 0:5
    06.12.2025 Portugalete - Añorga 3:0
    Latest results of Alavés C
    04.01.2026 Alavés C - San Ignacio 2:0
    20.12.2025 Derio - Alavés C 2:3
    13.12.2025 Alavés C - Touring KE 0:0
    06.12.2025 Zarautz KE - Alavés C 0:3
    16.11.2025 Alavés C - Leioa 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete27214258:174167
    2Leioa27164740:251552
    3Touring KE27138636:261047
    4Lagun Onak27144941:261546
    5Derio27144945:311446
    6Aurrera de Vitoria27144935:31446
    7Alaves C27126944:311342
    8San Ignacio27126927:20742
    9UD Aretxabaleta271151144:44038
    10Durango2799929:28136
    11Real Sociedad C271131329:35-636
    12Santurtzi277101027:35-831
    13Pasaia27771320:32-1228
    14Eibar C27761430:43-1327
    15Anorga27831626:49-2327
    16Zamudio27751528:43-1526
    17Zarautz KE27641722:50-2822
    18SD Deusto27461718:33-1521

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation