Result
2:1
11/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Gomez X. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Portugalete 69% | Draw 20.9% | Alavés C 10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portugalete that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (+3%)
Portugalete - Alavés C Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.32 ↓ (1.4) |
4.34 ↑ (4.01) |
9 ↑ (7.23) |
10% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Recent performances by Portugalete have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alavés C is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Portugalete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Portugalete is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Portugalete won against Alavés C?
Portugalete has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alavés C won against Portugalete?
Alavés C has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Alavés C were as follows:
08.03.2025
Portugalete
-
Alavés C
1:1
27.10.2024
Alavés C
-
Portugalete
0:1
20.01.2024
Portugalete
-
Alavés C
3:1
Latest results of Portugalete
Latest results of Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52:17 | 35 | 60 |
| 2 | Leioa | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 | Lagun Onak | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Touring KE | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
| 5 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 24:18 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Derio | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38:27 | 11 | 36 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 35 |
| 10 | Durango | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Anorga | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 21 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17:30 | -13 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation