Result
3:2
03/05/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Dominguez O. ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 2, Simal J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 52', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Carabanchel
13.9% | Draw
31.3% | Pozuelo de Alarcón
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carabanchel's form might have worsened.Pozuelo de Alarcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pozuelo de Alarcón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+18.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carabanchel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (-18.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pozuelo de Alarcón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carabanchel - Pozuelo de Alarcón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.37 ↑
(2.82) |
3.71 ↑
(2.89) |
2.11 ↓
(2.44) |
-13.7%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 2.
- Carabanchel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Carabanchel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pozuelo de Alarcón is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carabanchel won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Carabanchel won against Pozuelo de Alarcón?
Carabanchel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pozuelo de Alarcón won against Carabanchel?
Pozuelo de Alarcón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabanchel - Pozuelo de Alarcón were as follows:
04.01.2026
Pozuelo de Alarcón
-
Carabanchel
1:1
Latest results of Carabanchel
Latest results of Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 82:45 | 37 | 63 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 48:34 | 14 | 59 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 | Las Rozas | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 57:39 | 18 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 62:31 | 31 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43:42 | 1 | 50 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Alcorcon B | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Villaverde San Andres | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Galapagar | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | Mexico FC | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | Siello | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 36:45 | -9 | 41 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 30:33 | -3 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 33 | 10 | 3 | 20 | 39:62 | -23 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 29:65 | -36 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31:71 | -40 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
