Result
2:2
13/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 5
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (213/293) | 83% (395/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (213/293) | 83% (395/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (16/56) | 30% (15/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (41/86) | 71% (114/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (17/28) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Whittaker M. 🟨,
- 11', Jones A. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Dobbin L. ⚽, Storey J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Sene M. K. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
- 58', Hughes A. 🟨,
- 62', Jebbison D. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
- 62', Dobbin L. ↓, Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↑,
- 62', Devine A. ↓, Armstrong H. ↑,
- 66', Whittaker M. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
- 71', Heckingbottom P. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 1, Targett M. ⚽, Conway T. (A),
- 79', Small T. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
- 84', Hackney H. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Storey J. ⚽, Whiteman B. (A),
- 89', Jones A. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Hansen S. ⚽,
- 90+7', Lenihan D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Preston North End
31.1% | Draw
28.4% | Middlesbrough
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Preston North End - Middlesbrough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.94) |
3.33 ↓
(3.35) |
2.35 ↓
(2.5) |
5.6%
(3.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Preston North End - Middlesbrough?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 2.
- Preston has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Middlesbrough is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Preston: Brady R.
(Calf Injury)
Keane W.
(Muscle Injury)
Osmajic M.
(Ribs Injury)
Potts B.
(Muscle Injury)
Thompson J.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dieng S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McGree R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Preston: Jebbison D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Preston won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Preston North End won against Middlesbrough?
Preston North End has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Preston North End?
Middlesbrough has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Preston North End - Middlesbrough were as follows:
25.01.2025
Preston North End
-
Middlesbrough
2:1
14.09.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Preston North End
1:1
14.02.2024
Preston North End
-
Middlesbrough
2:1
28.11.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Preston North End
4:0
18.03.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Preston North End
4:0
Latest results of Preston North End
Latest results of Middlesbrough
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
