Progreso vs Albion Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
30
Red cards
01
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
43
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ,
  • 14', Silva G. 🟨,
  • 24', Andueza F. , Paolini M. ,
  • 37', Alvarez J. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Rodriguez Trezza L. , Puente F. ,
  • 46', Silva G. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 54', Trasante G. , Martin M. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Ginella F. ,
  • 65', Carroso H. 🟨,
  • 65', Toledo H. , Roldan N. ,
  • 66', Figueroa T. , Lopez A. ,
  • 70', Colombino A. , Paz A. ,
  • 70', Viera S. , Lemmo I. ,
  • 71', Airala C. , Vera A. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Lopez A. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Martin M. ,
  • 84', Moschion T. , Couture F. ,
  • 90+3', Cougo A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Progreso
32.8%
Draw
29.8%
Albion Montevideo
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28.1% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 27.5% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Progreso - Albion Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.75)
    3.11
    (3.33)
    2.49
    (2.46)
    7.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Progreso - Albion Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Progreso will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Albion will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Albion (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Albion Montevideo were as follows:
    29.11.2023 Progreso - Albion Montevideo 3:2
    22.07.2023 Albion Montevideo - Progreso 3:0
    22.04.2023 Progreso - Albion Montevideo 1:0
    Latest results of Progreso
    Latest results of Albion Montevideo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo641112:6613
    2Maldonado641110:5513
    3Penarol64119:5413
    4Montevideo City63219:5411
    5Liverpool M63217:4311
    6Danubio632110:8211
    7Central Esp63127:5210
    8Nacional63127:6110
    9Defensor Sp62224:408
    10Wanderers62224:8-48
    11Cerro Largo62045:7-26
    12Albion61237:8-15
    13Progreso61235:10-55
    14Juventud61147:11-44
    15Boston River60242:7-52
    16CA Cerro60242:8-62

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