Progreso vs Albion Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
30
Red cards
01
Total shots
810
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
43
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ,
  • 14', Silva G. 🟨,
  • 24', Andueza F. , Paolini M. ,
  • 37', Alvarez J. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Rodriguez Trezza L. , Puente F. ,
  • 46', Silva G. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 54', Trasante G. , Martin M. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Ginella F. ,
  • 65', Carroso H. 🟨,
  • 65', Toledo H. , Roldan N. ,
  • 66', Figueroa T. , Lopez A. ,
  • 70', Colombino A. , Paz A. ,
  • 70', Viera S. , Lemmo I. ,
  • 71', Airala C. , Vera A. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Lopez A. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Martin M. ,
  • 84', Moschion T. , Couture F. ,
  • 90+3', Cougo A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Progreso
32.8%
Draw
29.8%
Albion Montevideo
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28.1% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 27.5% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Progreso - Albion Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.75)
    3.11
    (3.33)
    2.49
    (2.46)
    7.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Progreso - Albion Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Progreso will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Albion will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Albion (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Albion Montevideo were as follows:
    29.11.2023 Progreso - Albion Montevideo 3:2
    22.07.2023 Albion Montevideo - Progreso 3:0
    22.04.2023 Progreso - Albion Montevideo 1:0
    Latest results of Progreso
    Latest results of Albion Montevideo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1072118:9923
    2Penarol1071217:8922
    3Maldonado1061315:10519
    4Central Esp1052314:11317
    5Nacional1051414:11316
    6Montevideo City1043314:11315
    7Wanderers1042411:15-414
    8Albion1034313:12113
    9Liverpool M1034313:13013
    10Defensor Sp103437:7013
    11Cerro Largo1041512:13-113
    12Danubio1034312:13-113
    13Boston River103259:11-211
    14CA Cerro102265:14-98
    15Progreso101459:17-87
    16Juventud101189:17-84

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