Result
2:2
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽,
- 14', Silva G. 🟨,
- 24', Andueza F. ↓, Paolini M. ↑,
- 37', Alvarez J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Rodriguez Trezza L. ↓, Puente F. ↑,
- 46', Silva G. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
- 54', Trasante G. ↓, Martin M. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Ginella F. ⚽,
- 65', Carroso H. 🟨,
- 65', Toledo H. ↓, Roldan N. ↑,
- 66', Figueroa T. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 70', Colombino A. ↓, Paz A. ↑,
- 70', Viera S. ↓, Lemmo I. ↑,
- 71', Airala C. ↓, Vera A. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Lopez A. ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 2, Martin M. ⚽,
- 84', Moschion T. ↓, Couture F. ↑,
- 90+3', Cougo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Progreso 32.8% | Draw 29.8% | Albion Montevideo 37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Progreso - Albion Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.84 ↑ (2.75) |
3.11 ↓ (3.33) |
2.49 ↑ (2.46) |
7.5% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Progreso - Albion Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Progreso will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Albion will win (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Albion (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Albion Montevideo?
Progreso has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albion Montevideo won against Progreso?
Albion Montevideo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Albion Montevideo were as follows:
29.11.2023
Progreso
-
Albion Montevideo
3:2
22.07.2023
Albion Montevideo
-
Progreso
3:0
22.04.2023
Progreso
-
Albion Montevideo
1:0
Latest results of Progreso
Latest results of Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Danubio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Central Esp | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nacional | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Defensor Sp | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Albion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Progreso | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Juventud | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Boston River | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )