Danubio vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Danubio
50.4%
Draw
27.9%
Progreso
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 27.5% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Danubio - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.83)
    3.32
    (3.39)
    4.26
    (4.34)
    8.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 1.
    • In recent matches, Progreso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Danubio is the team to beat.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Progreso were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Progreso - Danubio 1:0
    31.05.2025 Progreso - Danubio 0:1
    23.02.2025 Danubio - Progreso 1:1
    12.10.2024 Progreso - Danubio 0:0
    06.04.2024 Danubio - Progreso 1:1
    Latest results of Danubio
    15.02.2026 Danubio - Boston River 2:0
    09.02.2026 Cerro - Danubio 0:1
    12.01.2026 Boston River - Danubio 1:0
    08.11.2025 Danubio - Plaza Colonia 2:0
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Esp33006:159
    2Nacional32104:227
    3Defensor Sp32104:227
    4Maldonado32017:436
    5Penarol32016:426
    6Danubio32013:4-16
    7Racing Montevideo31117:524
    8Montevideo City31117:524
    9Albion31114:224
    10Liverpool M31114:404
    11Wanderers31113:6-34
    12Cerro Largo31022:3-13
    13Juventud30122:4-21
    14Boston River30121:4-31
    15CA Cerro30121:5-41
    16Progreso30030:6-60

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