Progreso vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Progreso - Danubio
Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
15
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
76
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Total shots
15
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
03
Corner Kicks
76
Goalkeeper Saves
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Brandao 🟨,
  • 29', Lopez F. 🟨,
  • 35', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Copelotti M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Sosa L. 🟨,
  • 59', Sanchez V. , Femia E. ,
  • 59', Amaro J. , Fernandez S. ,
  • 65', Brandao 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Copelotti M. ,
  • 76', Lemmo I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 79', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
  • 82', Fernandez N. , De Los Santos M. ,
  • 82', Garcia A. , Pinheiro A. ,
  • 87', Femia E. , Nunez S. ,
  • 87', Romero S. , Peralta M. ,
  • 90+1', Colombino A. , Carroso H. ,
  • 90+1', Lopez F. , Lopez P. ,
  • 90+5', Velazquez E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Progreso
32.8%
Draw
29.6%
Danubio
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 28.7% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Progreso - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.78)
    3.14
    (3.23)
    2.48
    (2.43)
    7.6%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Progreso - Danubio?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 1.
    • Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Danubio were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Progreso - Danubio 0:1
    23.02.2025 Danubio - Progreso 1:1
    12.10.2024 Progreso - Danubio 0:0
    06.04.2024 Danubio - Progreso 1:1
    31.08.2022 Progreso - Danubio 3:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol540112:4812
    2Boston River53209:3611
    3Montevideo City531113:8510
    4Liverpool M53116:3310
    5Cerro Largo53116:3310
    6Juventud53025:509
    7Defensor Sp53023:6-39
    8Nacional531111:657
    9Miramar52128:717
    10CA Cerro52125:417
    11Racing Montevideo52034:10-66
    12Danubio51134:6-24
    13Wanderers51132:4-24
    14Progreso51045:9-43
    15Plaza Colonia50143:10-71
    16River Plate50140:8-81

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