Progreso vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Progreso - Danubio
Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
15
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
76
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Total shots
15
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
03
Corner Kicks
76
Goalkeeper Saves
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Brandao 🟨,
  • 29', Lopez F. 🟨,
  • 35', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Copelotti M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Sosa L. 🟨,
  • 59', Sanchez V. , Femia E. ,
  • 59', Amaro J. , Fernandez S. ,
  • 65', Brandao 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Copelotti M. ,
  • 76', Lemmo I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 79', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
  • 82', Fernandez N. , De Los Santos M. ,
  • 82', Garcia A. , Pinheiro A. ,
  • 87', Femia E. , Nunez S. ,
  • 87', Romero S. , Peralta M. ,
  • 90+1', Colombino A. , Carroso H. ,
  • 90+1', Lopez F. , Lopez P. ,
  • 90+5', Velazquez E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Progreso
32.8%
Draw
29.6%
Danubio
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 28.7% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Progreso - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.78)
    3.14
    (3.23)
    2.48
    (2.43)
    7.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Progreso - Danubio?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 1.
    • Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Danubio were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Progreso - Danubio 0:1
    23.02.2025 Danubio - Progreso 1:1
    12.10.2024 Progreso - Danubio 0:0
    06.04.2024 Danubio - Progreso 1:1
    31.08.2022 Progreso - Danubio 3:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1292126:91729
    2Nacional1283124:101424
    3Defensor Sp1271411:12-122
    4Boston River1256120:81221
    5Montevideo City1263322:15721
    6Liverpool M1154215:12319
    7CA Cerro1261511:13-219
    8Cerro Largo1253413:12118
    9Progreso1252515:14117
    10Danubio1243514:11315
    11Miramar1233616:19-312
    12Racing Montevideo113359:18-912
    13Juventud113266:10-411
    14River Plate121476:17-117
    15Plaza Colonia111287:21-145
    16Wanderers121295:19-145

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