Progreso vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Progreso - Danubio
Result
0:1
31/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
46
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Arguello M. 🟨,
  • 34', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', Garcia A. , Rivero J. ,
  • 66', Gonzalez N. , Copelotti M. ,
  • 66', Femia E. , Peralta M. ,
  • 66', Fernandez S. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 70', Arguello M. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 74', 0 - 1, Sanseviero L. ,
  • 78', Pinheiro A. 🟨,
  • 79', Pinheiro A. , Sosa F. ,
  • 79', Silvera F. , Cougo A. ,
  • 82', Peralta M. 🟨,
  • 82', Trasante G. 🟨,
  • 83', Sanseviero L. , Azambuja N. ,
  • 84', Fernandez N. , Silva G. ,
  • 90+1', Rabino R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Progreso
32.9%
Draw
30.3%
Danubio
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 28.8% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 29.5% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progreso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Progreso - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.49)
    3.06
    (3.23)
    2.53
    (2.75)
    7.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Progreso - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Progreso will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Danubio will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Danubio: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Progreso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Danubio were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Danubio - Progreso 1:1
    12.10.2024 Progreso - Danubio 0:0
    06.04.2024 Danubio - Progreso 1:1
    31.08.2022 Progreso - Danubio 3:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    Latest results of Danubio
    Draw
    Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs

    Final
    1NacionalPenarol0 : 1