Result
2:2
28/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 4
- Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Cabrera E. ⚽,
- 22', Paolini M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Viera S. ⚽,
- 38', Rossi I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Andueza F. 🟨,
- 68', Lemmo I. ↓, Trasante G. ↑,
- 68', Martin M. ↓, Copelotti M. ↑,
- 68', Sanchez D. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
- 68', Azambuja N. ↓, Costantino I. ↑,
- 71', Balatti F. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
- 74', Viera S. ↓, Colombino A. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Fernandez S. ⚽,
- 80', Rodriguez S. ↓, Rinaldi M. ↑,
- 80', Rossi I. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 80', Cabrera E. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Costantino I. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Danubio
44.7% | Draw
30.1% | Progreso
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Danubio's form might have worsened.Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Danubio - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.83) |
3.11 ↓
(3.39) |
3.74 ↓
(4.34) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 1.
- Progreso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Danubio might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Progreso?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Danubio?
Progreso has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Progreso were as follows:
24.08.2025
Progreso
-
Danubio
1:0
31.05.2025
Progreso
-
Danubio
0:1
23.02.2025
Danubio
-
Progreso
1:1
12.10.2024
Progreso
-
Danubio
0:0
06.04.2024
Danubio
-
Progreso
1:1
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Nacional | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Albion | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Defensor Sp | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Danubio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Progreso | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Juventud | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
