Result
3:3
31/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Bentancourt R. ⚽,
- 10', 0 - 2, Martinez F. ⚽,
- 13', Barcelo F. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 2, Copelotti M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 25', Cougo A. ↓, Kidd F. ↑,
- 32', Paz A. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 2, Copelotti M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Martin M. 🟨,
- 58', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 3, Martinez F. ⚽,
- 69', Zabala D. ↓, Perdomo F. ↑,
- 69', de Mello G. ↓, Garayalde N. ↑,
- 70', Martin M. ↓, Trasante G. ↑,
- 70', Garcia F. ↓, Paolini M. ↑,
- 70', Copelotti M. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 3, Carroso H. ⚽,
- 78', Fernandez N. ↓, Codagnone A. ↑,
- 79', Barcelo F. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
- 79', Amaro K. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
- 87', Bentancourt R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Garayalde N. 🟨,
- 90+6', Castillo E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Progreso
25% | Draw
28.7% | Liverpool Montevideo
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Progreso - Liverpool Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↑
(3.64) |
3.26 ↑
(3.22) |
2.01 ↓
(2.01) |
7.2%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Progreso - Liverpool Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Progreso will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Liverpool will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Progreso (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Progreso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Liverpool might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Liverpool Montevideo?
Progreso has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool Montevideo won against Progreso?
Liverpool Montevideo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
26.10.2025
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Progreso
3:1
27.04.2025
Progreso
-
Liverpool Montevideo
0:2
03.11.2024
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Progreso
2:1
28.04.2024
Progreso
-
Liverpool Montevideo
2:1
Latest results of Progreso
Latest results of Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Albion | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Danubio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventud | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Progreso | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
