Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
26/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
84
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
119
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Acosta L. ,
  • 14', Suarez L. 🟨,
  • 21', Silva G. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Olivera Moreira L. N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Silva G. , Copelotti M. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Castro M. ,
  • 74', Silva G. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 76', Catarozzi F. 🟨,
  • 77', Hernandez A. 🟨,
  • 79', Napoli G. , Wasilewsky L. ,
  • 79', Castro M. , Forclaz E. ,
  • 81', Lopez F. , Lopez N. ,
  • 81', Garcia A. , Rivero J. ,
  • 81', Rea M. 🟨,
  • 86', Vallejo N. , Machado R. ,
  • 89', Kidd F. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Hernandez A. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Catarozzi F. , de Mello G. ,
  • 90+1', Rea M. , Bregante F. ,

Chances of winning


Liverpool Montevideo
57%
Draw
24.1%
Progreso
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 23.4% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 24.7% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.62)
    3.89
    (4)
    4.88
    (5)
    7.3%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Liverpool is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Progreso - Liverpool Montevideo 0:2
    03.11.2024 Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso 2:1
    28.04.2024 Progreso - Liverpool Montevideo 2:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maldonado43019:549
    2Central Esp43016:249
    3Penarol43017:439
    4Racing Montevideo421110:647
    5Montevideo City42118:537
    6Liverpool M42116:427
    7Nacional42114:317
    8Defensor Sp42114:317
    9Danubio42115:6-17
    10Wanderers42114:6-27
    11Albion41125:504
    12Cerro Largo41032:5-33
    13Boston River40222:5-32
    14CA Cerro40222:6-42
    15Juventud40133:6-31
    16Progreso40132:8-61

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