Puebla de la Calzada vs Diocesano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, ,
  • 30', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Puebla de la Calzada
43.4%
Draw
27.9%
Diocesano
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.2% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 27.1% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Puebla de la Calzada - Diocesano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.16)
    3.25
    (3.23)
    3.17
    (3.06)
    10.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Puebla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Puebla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla de la Calzada - Diocesano were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Diocesano - Puebla de la Calzada 2:1
    22.12.2024 Puebla de la Calzada - Diocesano 2:1
    Latest results of Puebla de la Calzada
    Latest results of Diocesano
    09.11.2025 Diocesano - Jaraíz 2:3
    02.11.2025 Montehermoso - Diocesano 1:1
    26.10.2025 Diocesano - Villanovense 0:0
    12.10.2025 Diocesano - Llerenense 2:1
    04.10.2025 Badajoz - Diocesano 3:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito27167455:193655
    2Moralo27158446:262053
    3CD Badajoz27165641:241750
    4Azuaga27147640:261449
    5Jaraiz27139546:252148
    6Cabeza del Buey271112434:211345
    7Villanovense27118834:29541
    8Villafranca271161032:32039
    9Jerez CF27715547:38936
    10Llerenense271051227:32-535
    11Montijo27961230:33-333
    12Puebla27711928:36-832
    13Santa Amalia27951327:39-1232
    14Gevora27681326:41-1526
    15Diocesano26491323:45-2221
    16CD Calamonte273111320:33-1320
    17Montehermoso27471619:46-2719
    18Pueblonuevo26451719:49-3017

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