Result
2:0
29/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Huitron D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes, Tubi TV |
 Puerto-rico | Fox Sports 2 |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (253/312) | 80% (285/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (253/312) | 80% (285/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 68% (19/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (74/104) | 67% (64/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.62 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 33 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.33 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ⚽, Madson (A),
- 40', Orquin R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez P. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 46', Fedorco J. ↓, Angulo B. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 0, Madson ⚽, Guilherme Castilho (A),
- 64', Mosquera M. 🟨,
- 64', Gularte E. 🟨,
- 65', Madson ↓, Estupinan O. ↑,
- 65', Zaldivar A. ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
- 73', Waller Martiarena F. F. ↓, Garnica B. ↑,
- 74', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 88', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 88', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
- 89', Castillo R. ↓, Nungaray J. ↑,
- 89', Gustavo Ferrareis ↓, Jaimes Rodriguez T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juárez
50.7% | Draw
27.1% | Puebla
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Juárez - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.89) |
3.47 ↑
(3.47) |
4.2 ↑
(4) |
6.6%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Sports 2
What is the prediction for Juárez - Puebla?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Juárez will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Puebla will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 2.
- Recent matches Juárez is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Puebla is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Juárez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Juárez is a favorite.
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
Rivas J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Castro M.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Juárez won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:21 (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Puebla?
Juárez has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Juárez?
Puebla has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Puebla were as follows:
27.09.2024
Puebla
-
Juárez
2:3
23.03.2024
Juárez
-
Puebla
4:3
25.08.2023
Puebla
-
Juárez
1:0
31.03.2023
Juárez
-
Puebla
0:2
26.08.2022
Puebla
-
Juárez
2:2
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Juarez | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Necaxa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
