Result
1:1
03/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Chavez M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (277/361) | 78% (280/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (277/361) | 78% (280/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (55/93) | 61% (70/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Fulgencio R. ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
- 54', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Martinez Yepez H. E. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Moreno I. ⚽,
- 65', Canelo A. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
- 66', Monarrez F. 🟨,
- 68', Estupinan O. ↓, Ayon E. ↑,
- 68', Aquino J. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
- 68', Garcia D. ↓, Madson ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Madson ⚽, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. (A),
- 82', Diaz N. 🟨,
- 82', Diaz N. 🟨,
- 86', Organista A. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
- 86', Gomez E. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
- 90', Moreno I. ↓, Garnica B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Puebla
37.3% | Draw
27.2% | Juárez
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Puebla - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↓
(2.81) |
3.43 ↑
(3.36) |
2.65 ↑
(2.47) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Puebla - Juárez?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Juárez will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Juárez (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1.
- Puebla has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Juárez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Puebla: Castillo R.
(Injury)
Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
Guerra E.
(Red Card)
Maestro I.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Madson
(Injury)
Ricardinho
(Injury)
Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Juárez?
Puebla has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Puebla?
Juárez has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Juárez were as follows:
24.10.2025
Juárez
-
Puebla
4:4
29.03.2025
Juárez
-
Puebla
2:0
27.09.2024
Puebla
-
Juárez
2:3
23.03.2024
Juárez
-
Puebla
4:3
25.08.2023
Puebla
-
Juárez
1:0
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:15 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Club America | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Juarez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
